winterwx21
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Everything posted by winterwx21
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Latest run of HRRR says it's gonna completely fall apart before NYC, but then again this HRRR run didn't get the heavy rain amounts far enough east into Middlesex County. It'll be interesting to see if it makes it to NYC.
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Moderate rain here right now. The Heavy stuff missing just to the south.
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Yeah it should be cleared out by then. I don't care if I don't start our cookout until 7. It can be a late night.
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Yeah I was just thinking the same thing. Looks as if Allsnow is about to get hit, but we might be more on the edge of it up here.
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Yeah you never know with summer convection.
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For days the Euro model kept insisting today would be dry, but obviously it was wrong. The RGEM did a good job the last few days showing a little more activity for today.
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Yeah the models have a nice airmass coming in next weekend. Could be a few days of lower humidity.
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Just had some sprinkles here. I see a few more cells popping to our southwest, so we could see something over the next hour or so. I want to get a cookout going but I'll wait a little while for this threat to pass. Big day tomorrow like you said. I think it could be the biggest widespread heavy rain event so far this season.
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That cell is missing me to the south, but it looks close for you.
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I ended up getting 1.36" from this storm. Very happy to get lucky today.
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Yeah it did strengthen back up. Nice heavy downpour still going on here. Might get an inch of rain out of this.
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Yep I thought it was gonna be heavier than this based on the way radar looked. Low end heavy rain here with a few rumbles. At least it's enough to give things a decent watering.
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Nothing to write home about, but a decent downpour going on here right now. Nice that we're getting lucky with a cell on an afternoon in which there is very little activity.
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Yep, just mentioned that to Allsnow. Looking good.
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Thanks. I think it's looking good as the cell has been building south a little. It should be pouring here soon.
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Decent downpour in Somerset County right now. Looks like a close call for me. I don't know if it's gonna hit me or miss me just to the north. I might just get brushed.
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I think the activity tomorrow will be very isolated, and monday looks dry. Sunday is the day I think we'll see more widespread activity. Hopefully a lot of the area will get hit that day.
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Yep. It's going to be isolated, but let's hope we get lucky here.
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I hope we can get something later since this morning didn't produce much for our area, but yeah it looks very isolated for the afternoon. I do think we have a better chance on sunday.
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And HRRR has very little activity for tomorrow. I hope we see something, but I'm not very optimistic. Sunday might be our best chance if last night's Euro is correct. I see RGEM does give us some rain during the morning tomorrow. Who knows.
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And I see 12z Euro is pretty active for friday and sunday, but mostly dry for saturday. Hopefully it'll work out that way. Anyway right now I leaving for the Seaside Heights boardwalk. Gonna be a nice night to see fireworks.
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I'm actually having a cookout saturday too. I'm hoping friday and sunday will be the more active days with saturday mostly dry.
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93 degrees here right now, but it doesn't feel oppressive with the dewpoint at 60. There will be some activity thursday night and friday, but it doesn't look like a widespread major event. Hopefully we'll get a downpour here. I watered the garden yesterday because it was already starting to get dry again. We really missed out on that last event, so hopefully we'll get something friday or over the weekend.
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Yep hot but lower humidity the next 2 days. Dewpoints might get down to the high 50s tomorrow. Late week into the weekend just looks like typical summer weather with higher humidity and isolated to widely scattered activity.
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And you gave some of us weenies early yesterday when we pointed out that our area might not get heavy rain since the models had our area near the sharp cutoff. Hopefully at some point you will learn your lesson and stop giving these silly weenies to realistic posts, lol.
