winterwx21

HRRR and NAM3km going nuts tonight, saying some spots could get 4 to 5 inches. Good to see the models beefing it up tonight. Hopefully this won't disappoint.

Certainly would be nice if GFS is right about heavy rain across our area, but who knows. 12z HRRR has heavy rain going over our area, but obviously the day before it's very difficult for the models to predict which areas will get 1 to 2 inches and which areas only a quarter inch. Hopefully we'll get lucky with the heavy downpours. I'm desperate for heavy rain.

12z Euro still looks good -- an inch to inch and a half for most of the area. GFS misses to the south with the heavier rain while RGEM misses to the north. Who knows at this point, but even the areas that miss the heavier rain should still get some.

Maybe you should go look at the drought monitor map. Most of our area is now in a severe drought. Obviously you're not a farmer or gardener so you don't understand how rough these conditions are.

I was hoping for a little something today but obviously it doesn't look good. I know SPC still has us in a slight risk most models give us nothing. Monday continues to look like our one big chance to get a soaking, so hopefully it will deliver.

Just had a very brief moderate shower here. Only 0.02".

I never was high on Thursday's severe threat because the timing is too early. Late morning to midday is not the timing you want for t-storms. Anyway, Monday appears to be our one big chance for a desperately needed big soaking. Hopefully that will work out, but I'm not getting my hopes up too high yet since it's 5 days away.

Feels great with the dewpoints down in the high 40s. We'll have the brief humidity spike on Thursday with the chance of a t-storm, but then right back to very low humidity next weekend. The negative is very little chance of rain with so much low humidity, so the drought will continue to get worse. But a lot of beautiful weather ahead.

As expected it weakened and the heaviest missed to the south, but at least it was a decent band of steady moderate rain. Picked up 0.39" here so far. Enough to give the gardens a watering. I'm glad I won't have to water tomorrow, but obviously we need much more rain. Maybe something on Thursday, but the overall weather pattern continues to look dry. It's likely that this drought will continue to get worse.

Moderate rain here right now, and radar looks very good. I know HRRR weakens it, but we're looking good for at least a half inch of desperately needed rain here.

Yeah the latest HRRR hits us pretty good tonight, but not until 11pm. This is a late event.

I hope you're right. It would be a shame if a good setup gets messed up by very late timing. Hopefully models like HRRR and Nam3km are wrong about the timing being that late. Still a good chance we'd see some heavy rain if it does happen that late though. We really need the rain so I'm keeping my fingers crossed.

The afternoon and early evening looks dry. Timing for the storms looks late -- maybe not until between 10 and midnight. Hopefully it won't weaken too much by then.

I see that one is going to miss me to the south, but I'm glad you got something.

0.35" from that storm. Not bad. Obviously doesn't put a dent in the drought, but enough to give the vegetable garden a much-needed watering. For a change I won't have to water tomorrow.

Yeah getting a heavy downpour now with a good amount of lightning and gusty winds. I wasn't optimistic earlier so I'm very pleased to be getting something.

I was watching the lightning from that cell in the northwest sky. I see a few little downpours to the west in Somerset County -- hoping to get one here in a little while.

Yeah the severe threat for today and tomorrow really went down the drain. We have a slim chance of seeing something tonight -- we'll have to see if the PA showers/storms survive into our area. If we see anything it probably won't be until 10 or 11 tonight. Way after daytime heating, so bad timing. And the models aren't showing much activity for tomorrow. We've officially moved into a severe drought now. With very little rain in sight, this is looking like a very bad situation as we move into early summer. It's so frustrating when we don't get enough rain this time of year.

95 degrees with a dewpoint of 69 here right now.

I wouldn't include Saturday in the storm chances. Not only no chance of rain Saturday, but it's going to be low humidity with hardly a cloud in the sky. Looks like a perfect day for people that love summer with temps around 90 but pretty comfortable with the low humidity.

I see HRRR and Nam3km don't bring activity in until after 10pm. Pretty late timing to be excited about severe. And tomorrow's activity looks spotty. I have a sinking feeling that we're not going to see anything here, but I hope I'm wrong. To me Sunday's threat looks better than today and tomorrow.

I watered my vegetable garden this afternoon because I figured the northern part of the line would fall apart. No luck today as expected, but hopefully better luck tomorrow or Friday.

With this very dry ground I'm hoping we get hit with a heavy storm at least one of the days.

Obviously you meant to say 2 days starting tomorrow. The weather on Saturday will be dry with lowering humidity.

Sunny and 78 degrees with a dewpoint of 43 here right now. This is a top 10 day of the year.