backedgeapproaching

Just now, qg_omega said:

Wow, zero wind here

This is probably extremely localized, like tied into the immediate western slopes, I bet a mile or so east into the actual town of Manchester is not nearly as windy.  

Even the weeniest Meso wind model, which from my experience is the WRF ARW2, was showing some gusts along the Spine, but not upper 50s. 

Jesus--- 58mph gust--highest I have recorded.   WTF, need high wind warning, not winter storm.

Total downslope disaster here...sun is literally almost peaking through--gusting to 40mph.  Barely snowing ATTM.   

Did snow pretty well for 3 hours of so, but right now it's more beech tree leaves blowing around..lol. 

31 minutes ago, tamarack said:

CF passage began about 2 PM with sudden uptick in wind.  Temp has dropped 10° in 45 minutes with a blink in the power - lost a bit of wx data I'd been entering.  Pack only lost 1" to 16" - modest dews and only 4 hr in the warm sector helped.

 1" lost--nobody can CAD like Tamarack.

Pretty uniform 5-6" left in my yard, but that is more anomalous compared to the rest of town and the valley down through Bennington.  Lots of wiped out areas with patches left.

Snowpack took a real beating today here too.  Wall to wall sun and low 50s, felt great though. Prob be wiped clean here as well 

Nice shots, definitely didn't see VIS that low here, meat of line went south near far NW MA.  

Did pick up close to 3", though more due to duration. Think Mitch over to Mt Snow had 5-6"

24 minutes ago, jculligan said:

I've been a frequent visitor to the White Mountains since I first arrived as an undergrad at Plymouth State University in the autumn of 2001. I'm sure some folks in here have a better memory than mine, but I'm not sure I've ever witnessed the seasonal snowpack being wiped out in the month of February. There have been years where it took a long time to initially establish the seasonal snowpack...but usually once it's there, it stays through at least the end of March. Last year was perhaps the earliest melt-out I've seen, with the possible exception of 2016. 

If you lose all of your natural snow next week, that will truly be noteworthy. I don't have official stats to back this up, but...that would be quite a significant deviation from the climatological norm in this area, if not close to unprecedented.

I think Will was mentioning something similar several days ago in a post.  I think basically along the same lines of having a strong cutter in FEB that brings 60F up to NNH and can wipe out decent snowpack is highly unusual for the time of year.  I haven't been on here as much so cant remember exactly what he said as I was just skimming the thread, but think that was the gist of it.  

Snowpack wasn't massive to start with here after missing the last few events, but its only down from 11.5" to 8".  Almost no wind for most of the event and temps were 39-42F for most of the rain portion on my Davis.  It did pop up to low 50s over night and get breezy looks like for a few hours before FROPA.

20sF now and some light snow falling. 

44 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I’m suspicious of the 37” in the N Berks too.   Seems high unless they had some big total in December that I missed. 

That is probably pretty close to correct honestly. There were a couple 6-8" events i think. No biggies, but then add in these little nickel and dime uplsope/streamers/etc events that can add up over time as dendrite mentioned.  Little stuff that you don't even realize is happening probably where you are. For example I had 3 separate days just this past week of little less than 1" each time.  These little dinkers spread out won't make for impressive snowcover, especially with with a few rainers mixed in, but the actual totals will add up. 37" is still pretty low for N Berks mid FEB with not much on horizon either. 

Unbelievable scene when the sun fully come out today around town--every tree glistening caked in ice, looked really cool. Most birches touching the ground now, lots more tree damage now the second day than I noticed yesterday. 

Interestingly, the ZR line stopped literally about 3/4 mile north of me, just sleet and snow north with trees totally bare.

7 hours ago, Froude said:

Hah yeah these overrunning storms are great. They just seem easier. Less worries with the storm track, way less wind, no shadowing issues so everyone wins. Give me these and some fluffy clippers all season please.

A foot or so here with a few flakes still coming down.

Fluffy clippers seem to be from a bygone era...

Here to report the kitchen sink.  Whatever the snowpack depth is right now is totally locked in and pure glacier. Walk right on top of it. 

1 minute ago, DavisStraight said:

Lose power?

Strangely, no. Not even a flicker. Might have not accreted totally uniform on everything because of how hard it was raining and maybe the slightest little bit of IP mixed in at times? Not sure why really, but glad to have it. 

Had 2-3 hours last night of pouring ZR, then about 8 hours of scalping and then the last 3 hours or so of mostly snow with some IP mixed at times.

About .4-.5" glaze and 2-2.5" sleet and we'll see how much snow..prob not much..

1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

At least the heavier rain will slow the accretion on power lines and branches.  You should flip to sleet soon. 

Yea, that's my hope..never thought I would praying for sleet.

17 minutes ago, Zeppy said:

30.2 minimal accretion

Turning into a full blown ice storm here..what a disaster.  Pouring ZR and 26F, water just pouring off the roof.  Maybe a tiny bit of IP in there, but mostly ZR. Lots of sagging going on.

3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

brattleboro bridge cam looks like snow or sleet falling?

No chance its snowing there

42 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Decent push northward of low cc on ENX in the last half hour 

I'm trying to not look at CC.......its too painful  Went from mod SN to -ZR.

Just now, PhineasC said:

Mitch just melted down on Twitter over it.

Yea, he's even more screwed than me being 25 miles south.

20 minutes ago, mreaves said:

I don’t like these warm runs. Yes, I’m still on the cold side but it feels like the margin is getting thinner. 

Feel like this literally happens with every event with some warm nose involved, every model run ticks warmer and warmer and warmer, and then still ends up even warmer than guidance at go time and during the event 

Some of these mesos have like 2-3" here of precip with alot of sleet. I officially hate this event..lol

10 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Pack is at 22" or so and drifted around so it's at the point where it's deep enough that it gets harder to tell just looking out the window that it's not 3 feet. LOL

This is when the 2" refreshers every other day are awesome.

I've gotten some synoptic love this winter, and more coming this week it looks like, but where has the upslope been? Been quiet on that front.

There is a definitely a threshold where the lines get blurred on pack depth and just the optics of it. Like when you get to 24-26" I feel like it doesn't look "that" different from 3ft just from an overall perspective kind of like you were mentioning. 

Like even last year after the grinch wiped out 30", got back to 28-29" in FEB I think with little freshers all the time and felt like more OTG.  

2 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Thanks! Woodford is pretty much the snow capital of southern Vermont, so I would trust the measurements from there more than the ski areas.

The Woodford measurements are not totally accurate IMO. Little bit inflated I've noticed at times, even with it being a total weenie spot and probably the best in SVT. 

We talked about this I think in the ski thread last year or maybe the NNE thread, the spotter is a woman around 90 yrs old or older and who took over from her husband who passed away some time ago. Amazing dedication to be doing that at that age, but seem to be a few discrepancies that I have noticed and even Mitch too I think.  

2 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Was there any word from Mitch about his totals in Vermont?

He had 1.7".  I had 1.1" 

I wouldn't say epic bust by any means, as we were always on the fringe, but things definitely didn't break right to grab a little more than expected.

Highest gust I had today was 12mph on Davis..still damn cold though.