Jump to content

Fozz

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    38,083

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Fozz

  1. Fozz
    Just got back from my first jebwalk. Temp is still 5-7 degrees and yet the snow is coming down hard. With enough layers, it’s still so cozy. https://imgur.com/a/pfqtoN5
  2. Fozz
    Heavy snow. In the middle of the first of many intense bands.
  3. Fozz
    Snow started 1-2 hours here in Worcester, now picking up and everything is covered. Temp is 6 degrees. I don’t think I’ve ever seen a full fledged snowstorm this cold before. Not even PDII.
  4. Fozz
    Baltimore got the heavy rates that it needed early on, so they’ll be fine and it will last for a very long time.
  5. Fozz
    Yeah my family is near Baltimore and while they got a solid 6-7”, the changeover is happening fast. I thought it would take until early afternoon. NAM seems brutally effective at detecting those warm layers aloft that global models miss. I thought it was too amped and warm, but reality may be proving it right.
  6. Fozz
    I thought the general public would be thrilled that it didn’t happen. Maybe I underestimated them.
  7. Fozz
    My mom sent me several pictures and videos and that sounds about right. It looks like around 6” or so and the snow is very fine and powdery.
  8. Fozz
    If that 15% of being away in the winter is during peak climo, then you’re going to miss a disproportionate number of big storms. Thats just how it works. Late January and early February is the prime window for KU storms. Not early December or mid March even if they can sometimes happen.
  9. Fozz
    The reach of this storm is breathtaking and probably is up there with past HECS. This shall rank high on the KU scale.
  10. Fozz
    You’ve gotta own the decisions you make in your life and not throw a tantrum if something didn’t go your way (like a New England snowstorm while you’re away)
  11. Fozz
    Yep, that tracks. I have faint memories of seeing snow in NYC in like 1994 (which of course was a big year), but the first storm I really remember as a distinct event was January 1996, but it's still a very faint memory. Vivid for me is anything from 2002 onwards.
  12. Fozz
    I know my solid weather memories go back to around age 11. For example I remember PDII far better than March 2001. I've also seen many younger guys say they can't remember big weather events very well before 10-12.
  13. Fozz
    I'm trying to assume the Kuchera ratio is overdone (which those widespread 20"+ totals are based on), but not sure what is a realistic guess. Maybe 12-14:1?
  14. Fozz
    So 0.8" of QPF from 3pm to 9pm (here in Worcester) has to easily be close to a foot of snow in that timeframe alone. Maybe 14-16" in Boston? I still can't believe what I'm seeing.
  15. Fozz
    I keep thinking of PDII and even a week ago saw it as the most obvious analogue. It was preceded by a bigger cold airmass with a 1040+ high and robust overrunning system that didn’t have much of a strong low. The difference with this one is that it shifted further north. That one was a DC to Boston blockbuster.
  16. Fozz
    Same here. It would be my biggest snowfall outside a ski resort in a decade. I’d be thrilled with a foot but I think it will easily exceed that.
  17. Fozz
    Awesome, I think it’s fair to assume 12:1 ratios at least even without getting carried away, this is a widespread 18”+ storm underway if other guidance matches these QPF totals which they seem to.
  18. Fozz
    I was in Cumberland RI... that one was a heartbreaking screwjob. @TheSnowman probably remembers this one all too well.
  19. Fozz
    Just days ago this storm seemed poised to bury the mid-Atlantic while giving us a few inches consolation prize at best. We have come so far since then, now on track for a full fledged MECS and the biggest storm in years for many. I am beyond excited, planning for baked cookies, hot chocolate, and a pizza run. Whether it's 12" or 19" I'll enjoy it all the same.
  20. Fozz
    I just learned the other day that January 1977 had flurries in the Bahamas
  21. Fozz
    That is nearly the entire state of Texas in either a winter storm or extreme cold watch or warning. And maybe half the country.
  22. Fozz
    The problem is that when Leesburg doesn’t get 2’, people won’t just stop trusting Apple’s weather forecasts, they’ll also conflate it with “the weather man”.
  23. Fozz
    I’d be shocked if you don’t easily surpass that cutoff this weekend. All those places north of Baltimore will be getting what is long overdue. At least 6-10”.
  24. Fozz
    8” is a big psychological cutoff for many. For a lot of people, the line between a moderate snow event and a major snowstorm is right around 8” or so. When you get close to double digits then it starts to look like what many would call a MECS. And I don’t just mean the number, but also the look of the snowpack.
  25. Fozz
    Happy 10 year anniversary for one of the greatest mid-Atlantic blizzards of all time! Still feels like yesterday. It was as close to perfection as any storm can get.
×
×
  • Create New...