Fozz
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Everything posted by Fozz
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Well that is a disappointing run.
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You’re moving to Hunt Valley? We’ll be next door neighbors.
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I’d say for the majority of us this is exactly where we’d want it by now. Gives most of us a solid 5-10” but also plenty of room for north shifts.
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Time for that southeast ridge to flex a little harder!
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Coming from someone who lived there a couple years ago, the winters are nice but living there is not all it’s cracked up to be.
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Especially 80% chance this far out. Not even “chance of snow” or “snow likely” on Tuesday. Just “Snow”.
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Beautiful. I am starting to get optimistic. Is it too much for warning criteria to be my bar?
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Exactly what I was about to say. Knowing our climo and knowing that the mid January 2024/2025 cold ain’t happening most of the time, I’d go with the big dog. Makes it a lot more memorable.
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This iPhone forecast for tomorrow is lolz. Seems like they take their snowfall forecasts straight from the GFS clown maps that count all frozen and mixed precip at 10:1 ratio snow, then they come up with these numbers.
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Too many correct words
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Fredericksburg gets a double whammy. Two back to back warning storms.
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I’m ok with this latest GFS. With the southeast ridge in place, we can easily afford for this to be south of us at this range.
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Yeah but without the clean block we had in 2016 or 2010, we can’t really get too excited this far out.
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This reminds me of February 2007 when we also had the potential for a big time KU snowstorm, but we got a last minute rug pull and it became the memorable VD sleet storm for most of us, with zr a little further south. If I recall, that was also a good but very imperfect setup where we didn’t quite have a clean block in place, so it shifted north and we got mixing.
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GFS is now an epic hit for most of us, not suppressed like 0z. 12-18” MECS. Wish we could lock this all up but there’s still a week to go.
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tbh since we are in a +NAO, I’d rather be too far north 6 days out than with MECS totals close to the mix line. We’ve got plenty of time. I can’t let superstitions get the best of me. Learned that lesson a month ago.
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This will be like the 4th storm in 6 years to do this if the GFS holds
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meh
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Hah… my only complaint is being in the bullseye this early. We’d take it and run.
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I’ve got lots of catching up to do. Is it really going to snow? Ive seen the runs for a MECS next Tuesday and feel doubtful. Is this a legit shot?
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If only that sweet MECS wasn’t 300 hrs away
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January Medium/Long Range: Chasing more snow to close out the month
Fozz replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
The 0z Euro MECS is the only thing I have to ride my hopes on. -
Yeah my point is that when you get fringed in all directions then it sucks a lot more than if it’s just the usual N/W hits. And a lot of us feel exactly how you feel, about wanting something more than just being grateful for advisory amounts or being happy for others.
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If that is a real measurement then I wonder if someone in that area will see a full foot of snow. It’s still ripping.
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Yep! Being on the outside looking in, and being told to be content with 1-3” while places south or west or north of us get 8-10”, all starts getting old. I don’t know what’s in store for us in the next few weeks, but at some point this has to change course. The light snow from this weekend was nice, especially in time for this cold blast, but I’m not done or ready to call it a winter. I might head to the mountains late this weekend and take Monday off.
