T. August
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Everything posted by T. August
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Not sure it’ll help too much but you can see a surge north on radar the past few frames.
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Same in Havre de Grace
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Incredible. What was the NWS forecast calling for?
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I know people hate on the HRRR, but damn, it should be concerning with how little qpf it shows. It’s like .3-.4” in DC with .1” by the M/D line. If the 3k NAM is even remotely similar it’s time to consider the potential for a bust.
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Wow! Congrats!
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The gfs wasn’t bad for northern areas. 3-4”
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lol that was the worst one yet. Pretty much a non-event north of DC.
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Except that one guy
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For better or worse, I feel like it never actually matters lol
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Where’s @Ravens94 ? I need to hear how the radar is more amped than the HRRR sim shows at hour 16
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36/17 in Havre de Grace
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I vote 1.5 additional north moves like that
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Euro is a little north actually. End result is pretty similar down near DC but it’s better for northern areas
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Yeah I spoke too soon for sure. Great outcome verbatim, but it sucks that every model run that comes out is moving south 10-20 miles.
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Still passable for DC but ugly north
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Hopefully the GFS is right for you guys up there
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For the hell of it, this is what I’m guessing: BWI: 4.5” IAD: 5.4” DCA: 4.7” Then mby at 2.8” with 3-3.5” by mappy towards psu
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Rgem is similar but a little wetter. Hrrr at hour 1,000,000 was kind of like it too. edit: The DC area at a minimum gets ~4” on almost all guidance. So not a bad floor.
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The Chiefs were dismantled in front of a global audience last night
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12z HRDPS is the closest we have gotten to a non-event so far. Doesn’t start until 8pm and peak rates are .5”/hr for a few hours. Total is 1-4” M/D line to DC. 5-6” SoMD through SBY.
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That’s part 2 - round 1 they get hit hard.
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Yeah north of there looks like +.1” precip from the 6z run, so definitely better
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Looks similar to 6z with the distribution. Wetter down around DC though. Not sure how much of a difference it made north of bmore yet.
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SoMD getting smoked at 36
