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T. August

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Everything posted by T. August

  1. imo it’s a little of both. Looks like 10-20 miles north from 18z + a better precip shield.
  2. 0z rgem is 3-5” through 84 for most DC-north. There’s more to come after 84 as well. Temps were holding steady even at the end.
  3. The car and deck are slick but that’s about it. 30.5°
  4. Oh ok… that is not bad for Baltimore-north.
  5. Does cmc run 18z or are you referring to the RGEM?
  6. In the back of my mind I really wanted the event next week to get mby to 10” on the season, but I’m no longer feeling like that’s possible lol. Needed 2.9”.
  7. It was setting up for something decent. I liked it
  8. I was actually surprised how bad it was lmfao
  9. Straight up disaster run for anyone north of SoMD
  10. 18z euro definitely south of its ens (eps did shift a noise-level amount south though). Surprisingly, there are still some amped solutions that miss to the north.
  11. Gefs pretty much the same as 12z. 2-4” mean. We need the euro to save the day lol.
  12. I could be wrong but I feel like that 10:1 is generous lol
  13. lol it’s a fail scenario for most people.
  14. Idk man a 3-5” mean is decent. Unfortunately the gfs op is still one of the snowiest out there, even including individual ens members.
  15. Didn’t see anyone mention, but the 12z geps isn’t bad at all. A few tenths fall after this in northern areas.
  16. Yeah can’t deny the shift south but looking at the individual members, they look great. I still think 8-10” is the ceiling.
  17. I hear you but the eps was a little too amped for a lot of people at 6z.
  18. Yeah definitely decent. It’s a little more south/dry but it’s hard to complain when the mean is 5” for most in the forum.
  19. I believe the 12z ICON is showing what @Heisy and @psuhoffman were concerned about. The first wave is kind of warm and south, then the left over stuff gets amped up into central PA. I only have 10:1 maps - it looks like 2-4” but temps are iffy from the start.
  20. That mean is sick. Gefs was an improvement too
  21. Euro is legit identical to 18z, I had to double check to make sure it was 0z. 6-8” for most
  22. Cliff jumping is silly but to see 0z so far as negative isn’t unjustified. Gfs is a miss south. CMC had good orientation but was absolutely torching. Whenever multiple ways of failing show up I definitely get nervous.
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