T. August
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Everything posted by T. August
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Yeah I spoke too soon for sure. Great outcome verbatim, but it sucks that every model run that comes out is moving south 10-20 miles.
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Still passable for DC but ugly north
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Hopefully the GFS is right for you guys up there
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For the hell of it, this is what I’m guessing: BWI: 4.5” IAD: 5.4” DCA: 4.7” Then mby at 2.8” with 3-3.5” by mappy towards psu
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Rgem is similar but a little wetter. Hrrr at hour 1,000,000 was kind of like it too. edit: The DC area at a minimum gets ~4” on almost all guidance. So not a bad floor.
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The Chiefs were dismantled in front of a global audience last night
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12z HRDPS is the closest we have gotten to a non-event so far. Doesn’t start until 8pm and peak rates are .5”/hr for a few hours. Total is 1-4” M/D line to DC. 5-6” SoMD through SBY.
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That’s part 2 - round 1 they get hit hard.
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Yeah north of there looks like +.1” precip from the 6z run, so definitely better
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Looks similar to 6z with the distribution. Wetter down around DC though. Not sure how much of a difference it made north of bmore yet.
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SoMD getting smoked at 36
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Gonna be a good run for DC
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DC can jack with 10-12” idgaf. I just want more than 3-4” for the literal 8th time in however many years.
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^ICON looks reasonable/realistic. 5-6” DC area with 4ish Baltimore to the M/D line
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Rgem with the cave south. Worse Baltimore-north, better for DC.
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Good run, almost identical to 18z
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Maybe I’m wrong but I don’t see it. I feel like this will end up pretty close to 18z
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Get ready for another 3-4”
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I imagine that doesn’t include the 18z runs (at least the globals). Looks too far north with the distribution.
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Bro delete this. You’re gonna get torched lmfao
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Probably rgem/srefs combo
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dear lord
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Yes
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imo it’s a little of both. Looks like 10-20 miles north from 18z + a better precip shield.
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0z rgem is 3-5” through 84 for most DC-north. There’s more to come after 84 as well. Temps were holding steady even at the end.
