T. August
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Everything posted by T. August
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I’m no Randy but through hr36 the gfs will probably NOT end up a disaster.
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From my limited upper-air knowledge I don’t think it’s gonna be better. edit: yeah it’s fugly
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Need to see the rgem not bake us and then I’ll get excited.
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EPS essentially identical to 6z, if anything came a hair south. Obviously this close in ensembles aren’t gonna jump around but nice to see.
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Yeah euro is nice, we are still in it
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Need it to double-down. Not to be dramatic but if it shifts north more than noise I think we are cooked. Besides the ICON the entirety of 12z has gone that way (some good some bad). Gonna end up a SEPA-NYC special.
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GFS slightly more north. 2-3” dc-Philly. Horrible cutoff nw tho. After rgem and nam, something tells me this isn’t done shifting north, for better or worse.
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Kind of dead in here? It’s gonna snow yall
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Euro is money DC-Balt. 3-4”
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I feel like it looks like the gfs did last night/this morning. Definitely a more forgiving swath on the 0z rgem but damn. It makes me anxious af counting on precip forming over our heads.
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12k NAM is not gonna cut it. The low pops over Baltimore. Would be great for New England.
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Euro about the same as 12z. Just kind of torchy - limits what would have been a better hit.
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Dang my bad. On topic - I think the extrapolated NAM was gonna be pretty nice.
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What was 2013’s total? I thought that was 3-4”.
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If this Sat/Sun event pans out - we get pretty lucky with the timing of the onset. It’s honestly not that cold when precip starts (euro actually at 33° for the beltway). Cmc is rain. If this was during the day it might have been even tougher. It’s never easy.
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Really frustrating - I wish it was more expansive. The only good thing is it looks pretty potent. Whoever gets lucky might see 3-5”.
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If I was a betting man…
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I think we can juice that up. There were some improvements at 500
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16.3° here - looks like just inland up in Churchville it got down to 12°.
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12z euro a dud for Friday. Tragic
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Honestly feels good to have the icon show it - it seems like it’s always the first model of the cycle to show a whiff/be bone dry.
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Nice! I settled with .8 but looks like you were in a better area.
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Beautiful morning. Woke up and saw trees dusted in snow again, was pretty surprised. A solid .2-.3 of new snow.
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Another dusting here - wasn’t able to discern what was old/new snow so won’t measure. @Kay did you get an additional coating too?
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Snowing in Havre de Grace too
