4 degrees.
If the over under line for Orange County was 15 inches, using Goshen as the measuring spot, which is close to the geographic middle of the county, do you take the over or under?
I would take the over but I think it's close.
Central Park doesn't get lower totals because of UHI effect. They just don't measure timely, properly, or with a trained professional that actual cares about proper protocol. It's that simple.
I'm 50 miles north of NYC in orange county NY. It's been a good season so far with 26.3 inches here, but I wouldn't call it great. It this weekend plays out well it will lean in that direction.
We've already had three events in many parts of our forum of 6 inches this winter alone. Unless you just moved here, I really don't think many people think that even with the last four milder winters.
I'm not sure why. 10 to 14 inches of snow with a layer of sleet and freezing rain on top of it sticks around a hell of a lot longer than 6 inches of plain snow.
Uptons map is only through 7 PM Sunday. I'm not really sure why they would put out a map to that point in time when there may be several hours of accumulating snow still to go in many areas.
Storm totals are supposed to be the high depth amount for the day. Should for instance 10 inches compact down to seven or eight people are supposed to record 10. Of course it doesn't always happen that way.
It's hard to imagine this scenario where Sussex ends up with only an inch more than Cape May. It could happen, but I don't see it. Wonder what they're thinking is, other than twice the precip in south Jersey?
They are always concerning even when you think you're far enough north or west.
With that said if this ended with just the last .10 of precip as sleet, I find that ideal for many different reasons.