CPcantmeasuresnow
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Everything posted by CPcantmeasuresnow
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I'm pretty much at the saturation point of model watching. I'm going to try my best to stay off the forums tomorrow and just enjoy what I'm hoping is an entertaining storm. My goal is beating Januarys 16+ anything less than 12 now I think I'd be a little bummed. Good luck to all.
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One of the reasons I hate taking trips in the winter is for fear of missing something with this potential. Yet I'm gone this March 3-10 in Florida. I've been checking the weather for those dates here for the past week.
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I'd be in therapy for years.
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Just curious Don. How far back do Islip records go?
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NWS seem to be on top of the conservancy for the January 25 and 26th measurements. This is gonna be a tougher storm to get accuracy. Hopefully they do the same.
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That doesn't seem like that much for a 100 hour event.
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Where do you place the bets? Any of the betting apps?
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The way they measure in Central Park sometimes, not all the time, this could really be open to a lot of fraud accusations.
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Either a possibility maybe both. Just have to hope they move on and you don't get stuck in either too long. .
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The bands and the inevitable dry slot for someone. I noticed one right over eastern Orange County in one of the models last runs. Hopefully that doesn't verify but if it does hopefully short lived.
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Starting to think everybody gets 10 inches plus all the way up to Kingston. Around and below 84 maybe 15-20 not out of the question.
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I suppose I need to try and defend my title. NYC 19.8 LGA 19.4 ISP 24.5 JFK 21.0 EWR 19.6 -
I think 16 inches would be a fair 50-50 over under.
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Only 53 inches plus needed for Central Park to catch 1995/96. Piece of cake.
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That's the 10:1. You definitely need sleep.
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In 96 snow started in the city with temperatures in the mid teens. Very different in that respect.
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It's 27.5 inches for Central Park from the 2016 storm. JFK recorded 30.5 inches from that storm so technically the city has seen 30 inches before.
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With the last two yes. This is a different animal for the reasons I stated hopefully they get it right. It's a 50-50.
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Central Park 1996 was under measured at 20.2 inches. Surrounding areas were much higher. LaGuardia was over 24 inches and Newark was over 28 inches.
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Is kuchera any different?
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Those are 27.5 and 26.8 inches. I doubt the city approaches those amounts but even if they did I doubt whoever they send to measure in the park will be accurate with all that blowing and drifting. Since this storm will overlap a calendar day they must also start new measurements at midnight Sunday and add the totals together it isn't maximum depth then. In summation accuracy might be a problem no matter what they get.
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I know what I'll be doing 4 am Monday morning.
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If everything holds up tonight the 4am Warnings should be upped accordingly.
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I love the thread name change. We honor our own.
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This is how I know we've reached the saturation point. When people start looking at 22.8 inches over New York City and say didn't the last run have more?
