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CPcantmeasuresnow

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Everything posted by CPcantmeasuresnow

  1. The bands and the inevitable dry slot for someone. I noticed one right over eastern Orange County in one of the models last runs. Hopefully that doesn't verify but if it does hopefully short lived.
  2. Starting to think everybody gets 10 inches plus all the way up to Kingston. Around and below 84 maybe 15-20 not out of the question.
  3. I think 16 inches would be a fair 50-50 over under.
  4. Only 53 inches plus needed for Central Park to catch 1995/96. Piece of cake.
  5. That's the 10:1. You definitely need sleep.
  6. In 96 snow started in the city with temperatures in the mid teens. Very different in that respect.
  7. It's 27.5 inches for Central Park from the 2016 storm. JFK recorded 30.5 inches from that storm so technically the city has seen 30 inches before.
  8. With the last two yes. This is a different animal for the reasons I stated hopefully they get it right. It's a 50-50.
  9. Central Park 1996 was under measured at 20.2 inches. Surrounding areas were much higher. LaGuardia was over 24 inches and Newark was over 28 inches.
  10. Those are 27.5 and 26.8 inches. I doubt the city approaches those amounts but even if they did I doubt whoever they send to measure in the park will be accurate with all that blowing and drifting. Since this storm will overlap a calendar day they must also start new measurements at midnight Sunday and add the totals together it isn't maximum depth then. In summation accuracy might be a problem no matter what they get.
  11. I know what I'll be doing 4 am Monday morning.
  12. If everything holds up tonight the 4am Warnings should be upped accordingly.
  13. I love the thread name change. We honor our own.
  14. This is how I know we've reached the saturation point. When people start looking at 22.8 inches over New York City and say didn't the last run have more?
  15. For most weenies it would be best to look at this and say, this would be a really nice outcome, and forget you ever saw the 18Z NAM snowmap.
  16. The NAM went from 0 inches for our area on the 6Z this morning to 15-18 inches 12 hours later on the 18Z. If the NAM trend continues I guess we should expect 30-36 inches on tomorrows 6Z. Personally I'd be overjoyed with 10-12, anything more would be appreciated but not expected.
  17. Actually NYC had 4, 40+ inch winters in a row from 2002/03 through 2005/06. Two consecutive 50+ inches in a row in 2009/10 and 2010/11 and 2013/14 through 2014/15
  18. I would also add to that the days with snow cover in NYC this season. If this storm does verify, the number of days this winter may approach or exceed 50. I don't really know how many winters have had over 50 days of snow cover in NYC. The last one off the top of my head was 2010/11. There may have been 1 or 2 after that but I'm not sure.
  19. Less than that. Eastern Orange County with 26 inches, western Orange County with 4 inches. That was less than 30 miles here.
  20. Yeah for 6-10. A little aggressive for up here this early in the game. I'll gladly take it though. Our current snowpack is in serious need of a solid freshening.
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