CPcantmeasuresnow

As the coastal plain, city and Island people begin abandoning ship on this weekend which never looked good for them to begin with, I believe we still have a decent shot here at seeing something (by that I mean 4+) for this weekend. Sure I'd like to see a 980mb or below a little inside the benchmark, but it doesn't have to be that strong for us to get snow from this setup IMO. Glad to have a sub forum where I can say that without hearing about marginal temps, the stars and planets have to align perfectly for it to snow here, why aren't we like SNE their climo works for them, even if it does snow it will be white rain, it won't stick on the pavement, the sun angle is already coming into play, and it's gonna be spring in 4 weeks anyway.

Very passive aggressive to those in CNE and NNE. However I'm good with it. Extended out to the HV I'm guessing I'm in the 24-36 inch band. That might even be enough for me not to gripe about the 48-60 inch totals 50 miles to my east. Upon reflection probably not, I'd be annoyed.

What a cruel twist of fate that is.

Is it flu? If so the next question of course is did you get a flu shot this year?

18.8 inches Eastern Orange County in HV. When you say you're two feet below normal, don't you average 200-300 inches per year in the Tug Hill? I'll take your bad years.

Somewhat of an exaggeration, depending on what you define as way more. Boston averages 17 inches more per season than NYC but 17 inches less than Albany at the same latitude. No one ever seems to remember when their easterly locations work against them too. if you're just referring to the city and the coastal plain of NJ what you say is true, but most areas N&W of NYC and even a few spots on the North shore of LI average the same or more snow per season than many parts of SNE, especially coastal CT, RI and MA.

We are now in what is historically the best period in NYC for 6 plus inch snowfalls. There have been 193 six plus inch storms since 1870 occurring in the 5 month period between November 15th to April 13th. Seventy of them have occurred in the 30 day period between January 20th to February 18th. NYC 6+ inch Snows - 10 day periods 1..... Nov-11-Nov-20 4..... Nov-21-Nov-30 6..... Dec-01-Dec-10 13.... Dec-11-Dec-20 18.... Dec-21-Dec-30 12.... Dec-31-Jan-09 15.... Jan-10-Jan-19 20.... Jan-20-Jan-29 25.... Jan-30-Feb-08 25.... Feb-09-Feb-18 16.... Feb-19-Feb-28 18.... Feb-29-Mar-10 11.... Mar-11-Mar-20 2..... Mar-21-Mar-30 6..... Mar-31-Apr-09 1..... Apr-10-Apr-19 193.. Nov-15-Apr-13

I never put any credence in 30 day forecast declarations for or against snow probabilities.

The way some people act you'd never know we lived in an area that averages 50 or so inches of snow a season. We've had three feet of snow from a single storm and at worst case I was not able to go out for 24 hours. Is starvation even a possibility in 24 hours? This is assuming you had nothing to eat in the house until you went out for that milk, bread, and eggs you needed pre-storm.

And the consecutive days with snow cover officially ends today at 7. It's now 24 days for the season, which actually sounds like a lot considering what a horrible stretch the last 5 weeks has been. Here's to hoping next weekend begins a new streak.

It's now 12.9 inches needed by December 31 to achieve a 30 inch average in NYC for the next calculations for 1991-2020 which will come out next January. I would hope they could do it by the end of March, if they have to depend on next November and December I'd bet against it happening.

Only 9 days away, It's as good as done.

During the Winter of 1780 the waters of NY Harbor froze over completely (I'm hoping you have some kind of research on that). Troops were able to walk heavy cannons over the river from Manhattan to NJ. Think of how cold that winter must have been around NYC for that to happen. My guess would be the monthly average during one of the Met winter months or maybe a couple of them had to be 15° or below. If anything like that happened now it would be heralded as the end of the world.

This winter my money is on the catastrophe. Which of course will just be a continuation of the current 34 day catastrophe.

And of course the opposite happens quite often too. Especially for areas N & W of the city. People only remember the ones SNE cashes in on. When their to far east and in the warmer air everyone forgets those, especially in southern coastal CT, RI and MA.

Actually the 30 year normal for Central Park 1981-2010 was first published as 25.1 in January 2011. However after numerous e-mails NOAA finally realized they did not calculate the 30 year average correctly and corrected the 30 year average for 1981-2010 in March 2014 to the correct 25.8 inches. Of course many places still post the incorrect 25.1 even 6 years after the fact.

Yes it is, but it hasn't felt like it for most of the month. It's been a terrible 30 day stretch.

I can't believe that, I ended up with 8, although I do vaguely remember the heavier precip all around you from that storm but never getting to you. One of the weirder radars I've ever seen if I'm thinking of the correct storm. March 2018 was 43.4 inches for me, the Highland Mills Monroe area seemed to jackpot every storm that month of course topped off with 5.8 on April 2nd. 50 inches in 30 days I shouldn't complain, but I would rather it had happened in December or January and not March.

I love it that you never give up. It keeps me going during these trying times.

Yet every year the same people will always state that it ends March 1. This despite the fact 4 of the last 5 winters in NYC March has been the snowiest month and 2 of the last 3 Marchs have been colder than February.

84 Definitely not to far north. There's a lot of posters in the NYC forum 20-30 miles north of 84 in the HV. Also there are probably more SWCT posters there than in the New England forum.

What is the elevation at your place Hyde?

The Catskills do great, at least until the next set of runs.

starting from the 1940's the 10 year averages are 1941-1950.....31.5 1951-1960.....24.1 1961-1970.....29.0 1971-1980.....21.3 1981-1990.....20.2 1991-2000.....25.4 2001-2010.....32.1 2011-2020.....36.9 if no more snow falls until Dec 31 2020, perish the thought The 150 year average is 28.8 so which decade from the above was normal for snowfall ? You could make the argument the 60's was, all of the others fall out of the range.