PivotPoint
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I know my opinion matters squat in here. But the people on here who enjoy storm mode must really enjoy having the power to modify posts. Just sayinnnnn On topic: Those embedded short waves in NS flow are being handle differently by each model suite. So I like that there is little consensus right now because it keeps all options on the table
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Lol, thanks Mappy I appreciate your input
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Because: 1. Model discussion should be inclusive this far out from the event, not exclusive 2. It WAS still squashed on the GFS 3. Who cares if the 12z CMC comes to fruition
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CMC is a straight shellacking. Please and thank you
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lol at storm mode this far out
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You're right. Not sure it will matter that much. But yes, I was incorrect
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I stand corrected. Just looked at 500b....everrrrr so slightly sharper
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Don't know what y'all are looking at but it doesn't appear any LESS flat
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Think the 12z GFS isn't going to do it for us Out to 66hr heights are ever so slightly stronger... We'll see/hope
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A typically good setup for DC/Balt region is when we have WAA start the show. Depicted in the 6z GFS there is a moderate amount of cold air damming when the overruning moisture hits from the southwest. Living around here for a number of years I like that type of setup for two reasons: 1. WAA events can give you a really nice thump on the front end. They can come in fast and hard which is great for getting saturation quickly and the show started. 2. If the low tracks inside the coast or it doesn’t deepen quickly enough we will will get rain/mix. However, we would already of had a nice 4-5 hour thump during the WAA so there would most likely be a nice swath of snow already laid down. So it’s a win and a hedge against risk. That’s why I like these events that start out with WAA snows.
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Great info. Really appreciate the scoop! I'm going to try for Friday, most likely will make the trek to Jay considering I know mountain pretty well and after reading their policy (seems fairly generous) I feel good about the possibly for some turns. Here’s hoping for many more storms to come this season!
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Thanks guys! Oh, and J Spin, I lurk on your reports pretty heavily during the winter time. Love the detail and consistency! Thanks for sharing those. I appreciate the insight PowderFreak -- I also always appreciate your "parking lot" reports when you report it's dumping at the base and it's a light mix in town. Gives me that warm fuzzy feeling lol Any other spots you'd guys would go if you wanted a few preseason turns (without going out west of course) Thanks again
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What are potential thoughts for this coming Wednesday/Thursday (next week) for some uphill action? I'm not sure on Stowe's uphill policy. Perhaps PowderFreak could enlighten the non-enlightened.... Please and Thank you I see some potential on the NAM for this weekend and perhaps another round for Tuesday-Wednesday on the globals for Northern Greens....Hope the FV3-GFS is on to something :) Thinking perhaps above 2500' could have some early season gifts to offer!! One can hope...
