CAPE

The pre-emergent seems to work well for me, so I just have shriveled dead grass, thatch, and bare dirt in the torched areas. Very little crabgrass. Less work when I go to re-seed in another couple weeks.

Yeah Tuesday night/Wed morning things look to ramp up.

Looks like the building Atlantic ridge will keep any widespread heavy/excessive rain for most of our region at bay until the middle/latter part of the week and into next weekend.

Looks kind of familiar..

Nothing of significance here yesterday/last night. Heard some thunder from a cell that popped a bit north of here. 6.73" for the month.

1.15" today and 6.02" since Saturday

Wow they finally updated the status message. Last update was the 19th. Radar has been down for a week or more.

Some really cool towers out there in the southern sky. One looked like a mushroom cloud. If I wasn't driving I would have taken a pic. Looks like there could be some training/back-building cells this afternoon and evening.

Total going back to Sat AM is now 5.8". I have had enough rain for awhile- hopefully the next 4-5 days will be mostly rain free.

0.85" in about 20 minutes. Might have been the most impressive rates I have seen during this whole rainy period.

Pouring here now. Gusty shower. No T&L though.

I was looking at that earlier. Almost looks like a redux.

The blocking Atlantic ridge will begin to break down allowing the trough to the west to progress east tonight and tomorrow, so you should get some heavy rain there, especially tomorrow into Thursday morning.

A paltry 4.35" here so far.

Early on yeah, but the daytime heating with this air-mass should pop some convection this afternoon. Also looks like the pattern may begin to progress a bit tonight into tomorrow, so the deep moisture plume should be directed a bit more eastward. Certainly appears more widespread heavy rain will occur tonight into tomorrow.

Ended up with 1.85" in 2 hours. Heard a few rumbles of thunder.

MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0529 NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 121 AM EDT TUE JUL 24 2018 AREAS AFFECTED...CAROLINAS INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE VALID 240520Z - 241120Z SUMMARY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AND MID-ATLANTIC STATES. HOURLY TOTALS TO 2" WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS TO 4" ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 11Z. DISCUSSION...AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS SHOWING AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS EASTERN SC, EASTERN NC, EASTERN VA, AND CHESAPEAKE BAY WHILE BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FESTER ACROSS EASTERN AND CENTRAL PA. THE ACTIVITY IS FOCUSED NEAR A WEAK DEW POINT GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION WHICH COINCIDES WITH A RIBBON OF HIGHER PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.85-2.25" LIE ACROSS THE AREA PER RAP ANALYSIS FIELDS AND 00Z SOUNDINGS. INFLOW AT 850 HPA SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 20-40 KTS PER VAD WIND PROFILES, NEAR OR SLIGHTLY EXCEEDING THE MAGNITUDE OF THE 850-400 HPA WIND. THIS INFLOW IS PULLING IN ML CAPE VALUES OF 500-1500 J/KG; CIN ACROSS THE REGION APPEARS MINIMAL. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 25-35 KTS EXISTS PER SPC MESOANALYSES, WHICH COMBINED WITH NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW WITH HEIGHT IS ALIGNING THUNDERSTORMS INTO FAIRLY LINEAR BANDS.

The firehose has finally turned on here. Pouring. 0.80" in the last 30 mins.

lol you are in the valley out there dude. Relatively low elevation and rain shadow and stuff. Climo there is a bit drier than most other places in the general area. I feel for ya, but its kinda like me complaining about getting dry slotted or my snow changing to sleet or rain in winter nor'easters. Happens pretty often, but thats climo here on the coastal plain at 55 ft above sea level.

Your city? You mean Dover, DE

FFW here. 0.06" today after 0.00" yesterday. Can I join now?

The main event was the organized coastal low. Yesterday's heavy rain was due to a compact vort max that enhanced lift, and also a localized frontal boundary that set up near the bay. Will probably see mostly hit or miss convection over the next couple days, then maybe a more widespread area of rain later Thursday with a cold front attempting to move through.

Just under 2.5" on Saturday. I guess I am out.

Can I join your pity party? Nothing in my yard yesterday or overnight, although a few miles to my west had 4 rounds of heavy rain amounting to 3+ inches. The prospects here look meh for today, as most of the action should be over central MD and N VA. And I bet you get an inch+ today.

Wow what a great technical discussion from WPC- MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0515...CORRECTED NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 612 PM EDT SUN JUL 22 2018 CORRECTED FOR FLASH FLOODING LIKELY IN CONCERNING LINE AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST PA...CENTRAL MD...EXT NORTHERN VA...EXT NORTHERN DE... CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING LIKELY VALID 222158Z - 230145Z SUMMARY...A COUPLE OF COMPLEXES FED BY SWLY ONSHORE FLOW FOCUSED BY RIVERS POSE LIKELY FLASH FLOODING ACROSS SE PA TO CENTRAL MD OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. DISCUSSION...MCV LIFTING INTO CENTRAL PA CONTINUES TO HAVE AN ACTIVE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF ITS INFLUENCE IN SE PA/EXT NE MD AND N DE ATTM. STRONG SFC FLOW UP THE DELAWARE RIVER AND SLIGHT TURNING AT THE APEX OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY LEADING TO VERY STRONG MST CONVERGENCE AND BACKBUILDING GIVEN STRONGER INFLOW AT THE EDGE OF THE MID-LEVEL TROF/CONFLUENCE BAND. THIS ALSO INTERSECTS GENERALLY WITH THE WARM FRONT THAT CONTINUES HANG THROUGH SE PA INTO ANNE ARUNDEL COUNTY MD INTO THE PIEDMONT REGION OF VA. STRONG MST CONVERGENCE ALONG THE WARM FRONT IS SUPPORTING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG ITS LENGTH INTO VA BUT GIVEN THE STUBBORN NATURE OF THE RIDGING OVER WEST CENTRAL MD INTO NW VA...THERE CONTINUES TO BE SLOW NNW MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT ALLOWING FOR BACKBUILDING ALONG THE UPSTREAM EDGE AND COMPOUNDING RAINFALL TOTALS DOWNSTREAM. THE BEST TRAINING REMAINS WHERE THE FRONT IS MORE PARALLEL TO THE MEAN FLOW ACROSS SOUTHERN MD TOWARD BALTIMORE CITY. IN ADDITION ANOTHER SUBTLE S/W WILL HAS INCREASED WAA ACROSS THE NORTHERN NECK OF VA LIFTING NORTH SUPPORTING A BAND OF CONVECTION THAT WILL LIKELY BE ENHANCED BY THIS PARALLEL NATURE TO THE FRONT AND THE INCREASED LOW LEVEL FLUX/CONVERGENCE CONTINUING THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS ALONG THE LENGTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY.