Not sure what models y'all are looking at with talk of a 'washout' this weekend. Probably more clouds than actual rain for the majority of the region. Looks like a quarter inch or less for most, and probably not until late Sunday into Monday. The MD/DE beaches don't look particularly wet either.
The upper ridge and sprawling surface HP to the north of the closed h5 low will likely keep most of the precip south/east of our region this weekend. That will make those who have outdoor plans happy, but the dryness will continue.
Pretty good write up from Mount Holly on the uncertainty with the weekend weather-
The forecast for the much-anticipated holiday weekend remains uncertain. A cutoff upper level low is expected to develop over the southeastern US with an area of surface low pressure forming near the Carolina coast. The evolution of the surface low and its progression north will determine the sensible weather for our region. It is worth noting that past few guidance suites have trended a bit drier for our region. This is due to surface high pressure setting up just to the north of our region as upper level ridging builds north of the cutoff low. This keeps the surface low more towards the south rather than coming up the East Coast. This weekend does not look like a washout but each day currently features around 20-40% chance of rain. Did undercut NBM PoPs a bit to account for the drier trend among guidance. However, upper level lows can be tricky to forecast, and would expect shifts over the next few days in the exact location of where the low sets up.
Abnormally dry along the western side of the bay, as well as along the Potomac around DC. Moderate drought SE of there in So MD.
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?Northeast
Just another weed I will learn to love I guess lol. I am good with moss and clover- good groundcover since the grass never lasts past the solstice. I have an innate hatred for dandelions though.
Trying to identify this. The leaf looks like wild violet, but I don't recall ever seeing the purple-ish flowers. It has been around mostly in places I don't care about, but now the stuff is prolific. Hard to keep out of the mulch beds. Impossible to get all the roots when pulling it.
Next batch looks to be focused right along the immediate coast on the mesos. I managed to pick up 0.18" with the showers earlier.
Best rain chances the rest of today are probably with any showers/storms along the front later.
Forecast here has increased rain totals for tomorrow- up from a tenth or less to as much as a half inch now. CAMs seem to be more west with moisture from the coastal, while globals are generally further east/drier. Also looks like an opportunity for some scattered showers with the frontal passage, mainly along/east of I-95. My money is on a quarter inch or less through Sunday.
Thanks. The view out front isnt what it used to be. Wasn't a house in sight but now there is one on the lot next door, but still a couple hundred feet away. A lot closer than I am used to though. I have to watch my tongue(and volume) when I am outside working and something pisses me off now lol.
@frd
Probably as good as it gets right now. Too bad the days don't get shorter from this point forward lol. I'll take another picture in a month, and the difference will be shocking. It will only get worse from there lol. I only try to keep a small area of decent grass now(what you see here) so reseeding it every Fall isn't a big deal.
My grass starts to go downhill by mid June, regardless of how much rain falls. Just too hostile for a cool season tall fescue in the middle of the woods, with well drained soil, and the long hot Summer days.
Overnight guidance has trended towards bringing some rain further north for Tuesday night. Still looks like the heavier rain will be southward in our region.