Jump to content

CAPE

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    33,862

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    Put a tree guard around it and hope it survives the existing damage. Since it is only on half or less of the tree, it might be ok.
  2. CAPE
    Third consecutive night aob freezing. Currently 32.
  3. CAPE
    A note about the extended products(weeklies) as a useful tool- they initialize off the previous day's 0z ens run, so the current run is based on 'old' data, and ofc there is already significant uncertainty at day 15. Imo the weeklies are decent for gleaning general trends in the longwave pattern(over a few consecutive runs) maybe a week to 10 days further out from the end of the ensemble run. Snowfall maps 1000+ hours might be fun to look at, but those maps are already pretty useless beyond D7.
  4. CAPE
    BWI: 22.5" DCA: 19.5" IAD: 25.2" RIC: 15" Tiebreaker SBY: 15" Bonus: DE beaches- 33.3"
  5. CAPE
    That is boilerplate Nina. Ofc there are always variations in the orientation/position of the ridge. Same can be said for a Nino- stands to reason the seasonal models will pick up on the more pronounced STJ with the tendency for lower pressure near the Aleutians.
  6. CAPE
    It's November. Winter is less than a month away and there is a high probability of a moderate-strong El Nino. Probably time to put the seasonal models in the rearview mirror, and focus on the LR ensembles and the weeklies/extended products as the primary forecast tools.
  7. CAPE
    Looks like a zonal flow for awhile with any significant shortwaves tracking to our north. Not the best for rain chances.
  8. CAPE
    29. About the same low temp as yesterday, but many more hours below freezing.
  9. CAPE
    30. Once I drove out of the woods into the wide open areas, temp was 28.
  10. CAPE
    I only care about h5 on these seasonal models.
  11. CAPE
    Burning question. It's late. I would guess sometime in the next few hours.
  12. CAPE
    Yeah at this juncture I just don't want to see a super cold gyre at 10 mb at the beginning of winter. That usually doesn't end well.
  13. CAPE
    Probably not the best look if you are a SPV. Not very cold/ cohesive. This would be a pretty good sign for the winter if it's an accurate depiction for early Dec. Good indication of the TPV location, which would be pretty favorable.
  14. CAPE
    38 here
  15. CAPE
    Truthiness is a hell of a drug.
  16. CAPE
    GEFS X has the same general idea.
  17. CAPE
    About a month early. We got us a Nino, so yeah
  18. CAPE
    That would be a perfect place for the Aleutian low to park itself.
  19. CAPE
    Halloween edition of Euro weeklies for the end of Nov heading into Dec. Esp nice Pacific look.
  20. CAPE
    47 here with some on and off light rain overnight into this morning.
  21. CAPE
    0.08" of rain. Temp down to 52. Hopefully I don't see 80 again until June.
  22. CAPE
    After another gross ass high of 78, temp down to 59. Dropped 10 degrees in 20 mins a couple hours ago. Finally, get this summery crap outa here.
  23. CAPE
  24. CAPE
    Eight games in, what has OBJ shown you? Bateman has been decent, but lets see if he can stay healthy. Love Zay, but is he a number one? If they are going to make a move before the deadline, a receiver is probably near the top of the list, along with some help on the edge.
  25. CAPE
    Why is Agholor on the team? So mediocre. OBJ is clearly done. Ravens need to get another receiver.
×
×
  • Create New...