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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. Glad my area can still get good snow following nothing significant in Nov/ Dec. What a curse lol. Maybe a case of too much analytics? Professional sports could use a little less of that too.
  2. Backloaded does not mean December torch. Not sure who said that. Most of the seasonal/extended guidance is suggestive of a relatively mild December though, which is pretty common in a Nino.
  3. I tend to agree. There is always the 'cold and dry' fear with a pattern like that without any blocking on the Atlantic side to slow things down a bit (and also increase chances for a favorable storm track), but the other thing that can kill snow chances ofc is little to no cold air availability. A pattern that injects cross Polar flow into our source region minimizes that problem.
  4. Worrying season has begun.
  5. The ensembles continue to advertise a favorable Pac look as we head into December. Aleutian low/-EPO and a neutral PNA. That type of pattern can bring some early season cold. AO/NAO domain isn't great but not hostile either. TPV in a decent spot.
  6. My wag is the second half of Dec will be colder. I also said I could see some snow the latter part of the month. I guess you missed that post lol. The reality is December has been an extension of Fall for the lowlands lately- and it might be the new normal. It's tricky this winter wrt to snowfall because this Nino is unusual, but most of the seasonal guidance is suggestive of a back loaded winter with the pattern becoming favorable in Jan, and Feb likely being the best month for snow chances.
  7. For those who want a chilly Turkey day, root for the GEPS. High temps in the 40s. EPS is milder with mid to upper 50s.
  8. I was talking about Thanksgiving day lol. So what if its 60? It could snow a few days later.
  9. The 'here we go again' part was wrt the injuries. That was not a good effort by the coaching or the players (the D especially). Interpret however you want. Giving up nearly 200 yards rushing is embarrassing for a so called dominant defense. And speaking of coaching, how is Keaton Mitchell completely forgotten about after the first quarter?? We see this dumb shit from Harbaugh coached teams over and over again. And yes it's ultimately on him.
  10. Ravens went into this game pretty much fully healthy and on a roll. Ofc it ends in disaster lol. Besides the poor overall effort (here we go again), they will probably without Stanley, Zeitler, and Marlon Humphrey for the Bengals game. Humphrey injury was non contact lower leg. Never good. He could be done. Good bet all 3 are not playing against the Bengals Thursday night. And Ben Cleveland He is the reason Tucker's 50 yd FG was blocked. Not sure why he is even on the team at this point. Bust.
  11. Browns rushed for 178 today. Defense came up very small, especially in the second half. Lamar was mediocre and the passing game is still too inconsistent.
  12. Browns just looked bigger and faster. Their 2 backup O-linemen were better than the Ravens 2. Their D is clearly number one. Things change quickly in this league.
  13. By the numbers the 0z EPS at the end of the run has a significantly-EPO/WPO, AO is neutral/slightly negative, NAO slightly positive, -PNA. GEPS is similar. GEFS trends the PNA into positive territory by day 15.
  14. This is the reason I am paying attention to the ens runs towards the end of the month- to get an idea how the pattern progresses as we head into the beginning of winter.
  15. Even with the h5 looks of the last few runs the EPS had a mild Thanksgiving. GEFS looked colder, but has since trended milder. I mean, what are we looking for exactly lol. Right now it looks pretty dry with temps 55-60. Nice weather to fry a turkey or whatever.
  16. I could see a little snow towards the end of Dec. We were close last winter, but ofc Ninas almost always find a way to screw this region, esp early. Ninos otoh, tend to find a way to work for the MA.
  17. I would expect Dec to be what it usually is, regardless of ENSO state.
  18. Just having a little fun with EJ. The extended products are pretty much complete crap beyond maybe a week past the end of the ensemble runs. No one knows what mid Dec will look like.
  19. But you got EJ all excited with the "really interesting!!!'. He thought it suggested an early season blizzard or vodka cold or something.
  20. Maybe read the thread a little before making cryptic hyperbolic posts about things that have been rationally discussed several hours earlier lol.
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