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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    Philly subforum is lame. He will be here posting with Ralph and Heisy.
  2. CAPE
    411 NOUS41 KPHI 171906 PNSPHI DEZ001>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055- 060>062-070-071-101>106-180715- Public Information Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 306 PM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026 ...CONFIRMED EF-1 TORNADO IN CAROLINE COUNTY MARYLAND... ...EXTENSIVE STRAIGHT-LINE WIND DAMAGE CONFIRMED IN QUEEN ANNE`S COUNTY MARYLAND... A survey team from the National Weather Service office in Mount Holly, New Jersey has confirmed a tornado occurred last night in Ridgely, Maryland (Caroline County). The preliminary result is an an EF-1 with maximum winds to 100 mph. The survey team also examined significant wind damage that occurred last night between Sudlersville and Millington in Maryland (Queen Anne`s County). The preliminary result is that extensive straight-line winds occurred with speeds between 70-90 mph. The survey team is currently in Kent County, Delaware. A final assessment including all of the details are expected to be completed and transmitted via a Public Information Statement sometime this evening. The storm survey information will also be available on our website at http://www.weather.gov/phi $$ Gorse @AlexD1990 @JakkelWx
  3. CAPE
    1025 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 SE Ridgely 38.92N 75.86W 03/16/2026 Caroline MD Public Several full trees down and intense storm damage reported. Holly Road is closed from 404 to Central Avenue due to trees down. Possible tornado. Time estimated from radar. 1025 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg Ridgely 38.95N 75.88W 03/16/2026 Caroline MD 911 Call Center Several reports of trees down in Ridgely, including one onto a house with minor structural damage. Time estimated from radar. Also damage reported in Talbot, Kent, and Queen Annes County
  4. CAPE
    Lost power. Was pretty drunk and went to bed. The wind was crazy with lots of branches falling. I'll assess(later) in the morning. Back to bed.
  5. CAPE
    Heh, might actually get something that will make this day not a total bust.
  6. CAPE
    With a voddy tonic. oh, having one now.
  7. CAPE
    Well this has largely disappeared lol. Still a bit of a -NAO develops towards the very end of the month. Not very helpful at that point. Still, the currently advertised pattern centered on the 25th isnt awful.
  8. CAPE
    It is the best model. One against all the rest.
  9. CAPE
    What a complete nothingburger. The decision to close schools early was questionable regardless. I mean, even in a worst case scenario in these parts, we are taking a few tornados over a very broad area. Anyway, a tenth of an inch of rain here lol. Didn't even sniff a garden variety storm and minimal wind with forecasts of 40+ mph gusts. Not mad at all.
  10. CAPE
    You can get some awesome shots over here as you know with it being flat and wide open. I have so many cool shelf cloud shots. eta-shots like my current profile pic
  11. CAPE
    Depends on the model- The 3km NAM suggest you might want to head east.
  12. CAPE
  13. CAPE
    Sounds like both to me.
  14. CAPE
    Idk, seems like we routinely fail at severe. Mostly garden variety storms with some heavy rain, modest wind gusts, and some decent T&L.
  15. CAPE
    I probably have at least 50 trees that could reach my house but luckily the only close call(other than some branches) was an oak that fell during Irene. The very top branches barely brushed the back of the house.
  16. CAPE
    It's not over, at least potentially... if the NA look materializes and we can time a wave.
  17. CAPE
    This potential severe outbreak has inspired a profile pic change from Winter to Spring mode. I think I took that one back in 2015 from the end of my driveway. I will be driving from work northeastward towards home late afternoon tomorrow. I may adjust the timing based on actual conditions.
  18. CAPE
    Chaser in WI and into MI. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dxFBUJmARtU
  19. CAPE
    https://www.news8000.com/weather/live-cameras/
  20. CAPE
    SPC ...Carolinas into MD/PA and vicinity... Areas of showers may occur early in the day especially but should rapidly lift north, allowing areas of heating and gradual destabilization over the entire area. As the surface trough deepens, low-level wind will back and strengthen throughout the day. Supercells producing tornadoes appear most likely ahead of the cold front from SC into NC and southern VA. Models vary with degree of instability, but strong tornadoes do appear possible with effective SRH of at least 300-400 m2/s2. Fast storm motions over 50 kt suggest a long tracked tornado will be possible. Meanwhile, a robust line of storms will develop as the cold front pushes east, stretching from the Carolinas to southern NY. With a moist air mass and large-scale support, this line is expected to produce particularly damaging winds, along with QLCS tornadoes across the remainder of SC/NC, VA, MD, and much of southern PA. This will likely peak during the late afternoon hours. The activity may eventually interact with cool trajectories off the Atlantic during the evening.
  21. CAPE
    A couple webcams to monitor the MN-WI-MI blizzard- https://it.nmu.edu/webcam
  22. CAPE
    Pacific is kinda crap but that's a legit NAO Rex Block as advertised. In late March, that could work.
  23. CAPE
    I was gonna suspend the WB account yesterday but I didn't want to rely on WW for maps just in case something unusual happens lol.
  24. CAPE
    The Chill WDI remains favorable.
  25. CAPE
    I did post an h5 map for that window a couple days ago- I said it was awfully late outside of the mountains, but ya never know. Shit can happen the last week of March, and this might be the winter for it given we have scored multiple times without the 'ideal' upper level pattern.
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