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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    or a nap? maybe a RAP?
  2. CAPE
    No. Some prefer the AI models(also accessible). They aren't physics based in the traditional sense. So I am referring to the 'traditional' model guidance. Euro imo is superior to GFS, CMC, etc.
  3. CAPE
    The legit cold is gone for now. This storm is a thread the needle deal. We might get some decent cold back for the last week of the month. Latest trends on the ensembles aren't the best, but still time.
  4. CAPE
    There's your freebie. Ok back to my thread before the whinging begins.
  5. CAPE
    Still pretty close to something decent for somewhere in our region. Stay vigilant.
  6. CAPE
    Yeah its a weakling until it gets further offshore. No phase at h5- the NS wave sharpens but too late and doesn't go negative in time.
  7. CAPE
    Don't forget the pure heavy snow event for eastern NC while we smoked cirrus. We missed that one and have had nothing since. Piss and moan over- at least i am in the appropriate thread for it lol.
  8. CAPE
    Even that starts upstairs.
  9. CAPE
    High of 42
  10. CAPE
    I should have posted that in the other thread because most here only care about the surface- specifically snow maps. It all happens upstairs.
  11. CAPE
    Disparity. Which one is closer to reality? Time will tell. A strong jet streak upstream amplifies the trough on the Euro. Not so much on the GFS.
  12. CAPE
    I have 6" log outer walls- R value isnt the best but not as relevant because of the high thermal mass(heat storing capability).
  13. CAPE
    lol DT. He is still relevant?
  14. CAPE
    Snow has melted off the outdoor furniture, some on the roof, and on the deck. Not so much on the frozen ground. Still full coverage around 5" most places.
  15. CAPE
    ^lol I am agreeing with you. Will posted the Control run.
  16. CAPE
    I turned my thermostat up to 70 given the relative warmth outside. Heat pump not working so hard and I dont need to start a fire to keep it from running constantly. Kinda liking this.
  17. CAPE
    Yes it is the "right" map- if there is such a thing 40 fucking days out. It's the mean. He loves the Control run for some reason.
  18. CAPE
    Yeah its actually 'caving" a bit to the GEFS, which hasn't been as enthusiastic about the favorable look in the NA or the western trough weakening/progressing eastward after the 20th. We shall see.
  19. CAPE
    Lucky for you, this has a zero percent chance of verifying.
  20. CAPE
    Yeah kinda gross. I would only eat that if he never touched it.
  21. CAPE
    I would live in Boulder, but I don't make more than 150k 1.5 million.
  22. CAPE
    Its definitely fancy. I would tear that up.
  23. CAPE
    Not enthused about this storm potential overall, but given the 6z run and that 12z was close- it just missed a phase(occurs too late offshore) and so off the coast the primary shortwave goes without gaining enough latitude. Main takeaway even with a miss at 12z, the best physics based model we have access to thinks its cold enough to snow in much of the region given a strong LP and track to our south, at least for now.
  24. CAPE
    This your first post here? Sure its a wrap.
  25. CAPE
    Wow just noticed you moved to the desert. Congrats!
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