CAPE

0.33" A bit underwhelming today, but no complaints. Up to 3.45" for the first 9 days of the month. Already around an inch more than the entire month of June.

Yeah it kinda broke apart down that way. Pouring here now but not much wind or thunder. Last night's storm was much more fun with gusty winds and the close by lightning strikes. As I type this the rain is already letting up. Meh.

Yeah looks like Centreville to Chestertown are getting the goods with this one.

Just walked down to the mailbox and can hear the constant rumbling in the distance. Clouds out ahead of it look kinda cool and a bit eerie.

That line is bowing out as it comes eastward.

260 WUUS51 KPHI 092317 SVRPHI MDC011-029-035-041-100030- /O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0171.250709T2317Z-250710T0030Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 717 PM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025 The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Talbot County in eastern Maryland... Queen Anne's County in northeastern Maryland... Caroline County in eastern Maryland... Kent County in northeastern Maryland... * Until 830 PM EDT. * At 716 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from Crofton to near Chesapeake Beach to near Sheridan Point, moving northeast at 35 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is possible. * Locations impacted include... Easton, Centerville, Talbot, Chestertown, Denton, Centreville, Romancoke, Federalsburg, Greensboro, Oakland, Ridgely, Rock Hall, Trappe, St. Michaels, Church Hill, Preston, Oxford, Sudlersville, Goldsboro, and Queen Anne.

You get screwed almost every time the low/mid level winds are westerly. I don't recall the exact setup back in June when your area was getting clobbered, but I bet the winds were from the E/SE.

Looks like there were some 3"+ amounts just west and south of Richmond. Probably occurred over a long enough period of time that it didn't cause much of a problem. https://www.weather.gov/wrh/hazards?obs=true&wfo=akq

Mid September.

https://www.deos.udel.edu/ There are 2 stations in the Middletown area, and 2 more north/northeast of there.

Doing well here so far. 0.80" from this storm and 1.65" since Sunday afternoon. The worm has turned after a pretty bad June. I think the total was 2.5".

Pretty cool storm here. Gusty winds and lots of T&L. Had a really close strike. Looks like any potential severe would be in the southern part of the line in Talbot county.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning MDC011-035-041-082315- /O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0163.250708T2234Z-250708T2315Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 634 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025 The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Talbot County in eastern Maryland... Southwestern Queen Anne`s County in northeastern Maryland... Southwestern Caroline County in eastern Maryland... * Until 715 PM EDT. * At 633 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Kent Point, or 9 miles east of Shady Side, moving east at 35 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings. * Locations impacted include... Easton, Talbot, Denton, Trappe, St. Michaels, Preston, Oxford, Tanyard, Harmony, Tilghman Island, Skipton, Copperville, Matthews, Choptank, Hambleton, Griffin, Windyhill, and Cordova.

Pretty gusty winds on the front end of this line. See what else it brings.

Looking at the radar now, you probably should be. Solid line of red heading your way.

Looks like your yard is about to get juiced.

Latest 2-day from WPC

Days 1-3 will get it done if today fails!

In the gap in the line lol. Filled in as it moved east. Can't tell you how many times that's happened here over the last month or so.

Excessive Rainfall DiscussionNWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD731 PM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025Day 2Valid 12Z Tue Jul 08 2025 - 12Z Wed Jul 09 2025...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR THE EASTERNMID-ATLANTIC STATES AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND, AS WELL AS PARTS OFTHE SOUTHERN PLAINS......Mid-Atlantic and Northeast...Post-tropical cyclone Chantal will be exiting east of Cape Cod tostart the period as it continues to get caught up in increasingsouthwesterlies downstream of a trough approaching from the GreatLakes. This trough will continue to translate eastward through theday, but will be slow to advect due to downstream Bermuda-typeridging. Between these two features, SW flow will remain prevalentover the area, with 850-500mb winds being nearly unidirectionalfrom the W/SW at 15-20 kts. This will result in a continuedextremely moist environment with PWs likely eclipsing 2" fromeastern VA through southern New England Tuesday afternoon,coincident with a plume of SBCAPE exceeding 2000 J/kg.Into these impressive thermodynamics, a shortwave embedded withinthe mean flow will traverse northeast ahead of a cold front andalong a surface trough, providing additional ascent atop thealready impressive convergence on these boundaries. This suggestsshowers and thunderstorms will become widespread, which isadditionally supported by high-res CAM simulated reflectivity.Storms that develop will move very slowly, and Corfidi vectorscollapsed to just around 5 kts will support backbuilding andtraining echoes along the surface trough and front. With warm clouddepths potentially eclipsing 14,000 ft, this will support efficientwarm-rain processes and rain rates above 2"/hr at times. Wheretraining occurs, this could result in total rainfall in excess of3", with instances of flash flooding possible across much of theI-95 corridor from Richmond, VA to Portland, ME, and a slight riskhas been added for this area.

That's the total including 0.12" that fell yesterday late afternoon.

0.84"

Heavy rain and Thunder here at work in Easton.

84/75 Sultry