CAPE

Os walk off. Need more of that shit.

100+ for Miles City Montana though next Saturday. It's that 'dry' heat though. Currently 105 with a dp of 42

Pretty interesting h5 pattern setting up for the US will produce weather extremes. I'll take our area for this one. WPC EFD- ...Weather/Hazards Highlights... Extreme heat will continue to make weather headlines across a large expanse of the country going into next week. Widespread upper 90s and low 100s are expected from Montana to the Dakotas, which is about 10-15 degrees above average. It will also be very hot and humid from Texas to the Gulf Coast states with highs ranging from 95 to 105 degrees on most days, with some areas of extreme HeatRisk given the longevity of the heat and expected heat indices exceeding 110 degrees at times. It will also be quite hot from the Desert Southwest and extending north across the Intermountain West with the upper ridge exerting its influence. Highs in the 110s to 120F in the hottest deserts of southern Arizona/southeastern California will only cool into the upper 80s to mid 90s at night. Farther north, temperatures near 100 degrees will be common over the Great Basin. Over the Northeast/Mid-Atlantic, upper troughing will favor near to below normal temperatures in the generally pleasant 70s/80s during the day and 50s/60s at night. An organized low pressure system crossing the Northeast and Mid- Atlantic region on Tuesday, in combination with an amplifying upper level shortwave trough, will fuel the development of numerous showers and storms from Virginia to New England. A risk of flash flooding is possible in the region Tuesday into Wednesday with a potential for 1 to 2+ inches of rainfall. There is also a threat of severe weather across portions of the Mid-Atlantic in the warm sector of the low pressure system. Damaging winds are the primary hazard with the strongest storms.

Looks like 79 is the high for the day. 2 straight days under 80 with dewpoints in the 50s in late July isnt very common in these parts.

I had a light shower here. Was planning to get out early and mow whatever crap is growing out there, but just enough wetness that I'll have to wait a bit.

Another Orioles special. Their fundamental issues aren't correctable. They are going to lose to the good teams, but there are plenty of mediocre to bad teams on the upcoming schedule too.

I am definitely skinny CAPE- relatively modest updrafts but over a vertically deep layer(quite long/tall) and with lots of juice. @ravensrulewill be along shortly

About to pour an Other Half TDH ALL RIIIOT EVERYTHING NZ EDITION to leadoff Friday HH A triple dry hopped Imperial IPA. Hell of a name.

High of 78 Currently 77 with a DP of 57 Gimmie this for the next month.

low of 58

Elias needs to go. End of.

They sure as hell are due for a loss

WB map inundation.

^that being said, Elias the gas lighter will probably still buy, and do even more damage to this team going forward.

They are who we thought they were. They will probably find a way to blow the second game, with an early 4 run lead and their ace on the mound.

You are gonna break 3" there.

Getting heavier rain with T&L again. Gonna easily exceed 2".

Dude its so easy to find literally anything with AI. Just do a simple search with specifically what you want to know about- What is CAPE and how does it relate to severe weather? CAPE stands for Convective Available Potential Energy. It measures the amount of energy available in the atmosphere to drive the upward motion of air (updrafts), serving essentially as the fuel for severe thunderstorms. CAPE is measured in Joules per kilogram (J/kg). [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6] How CAPE Works When a parcel of air becomes warmer and less dense than the surrounding environment, it rises. CAPE calculates the total buoyancy force acting on that rising parcel throughout the depth of the atmosphere. The greater the temperature difference between the rising air and the environment, the higher the CAPE value and the faster the air ascends. [1, 2, 3] CAPE Values and Severe Weather Meteorologists use CAPE to gauge the intensity and potential severity of convective storms. In general, higher CAPE values indicate greater atmospheric instability. [1, 2, 3] 0 – 1,000 J/kg: Stable to weakly unstable. Generally low risk of severe weather. 1,000 – 2,500 J/kg: Moderate instability. Capable of producing strong, sustained thunderstorms. 2,500 – 4,000 J/kg: Strong instability. High potential for severe weather, including large hail and damaging winds. Greater than 4,000 J/kg: Extreme instability. Strongly supports explosive updrafts and highly severe phenomena. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7] The Bigger Picture While CAPE represents the potential energy, it is not a standalone predictor. For severe weather to develop, high CAPE must combine with a trigger (such as a cold front or daytime heating) to force the air upward, and sufficient wind shear (changes in wind speed and direction with height) to organize the storm. What are the different types of CAPE? In meteorology, CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) measures atmospheric instability and storm fuel. The four main types used to evaluate severe weather potential vary by the specific air parcel measured: [1, 2, 3, 4] MLCAPE (Mean-Layer CAPE): Averages the characteristics of air parcels in the lowest 100 millibars of the atmosphere. It represents the mixed boundary layer and is highly reliable for predicting organized, surface-based storm systems. [1, 2, 3] MUCAPE (Most-Unstable CAPE): Identifies the most buoyant parcel within the lowest portion of the atmosphere. It is the best tool for spotting elevated, nocturnal thunderstorms that develop above a surface inversion. [1] 0-3 km CAPE: Measures instability only in the lowest three kilometers of the atmosphere. Lower values in this shallow layer are specifically monitored for their ability to promote the rapid stretching of air required for tornado formation SBCAPE (Surface-Based CAPE): Measures the buoyancy of an air parcel directly at the Earth's surface. It is highly useful for predicting afternoon thunderstorm and tornado potential, though it can overstate instability on days with shallow surface moisture. [1]

Torrential rain has shifted southeast, but still getting some decent moderate rain. Up to 1.73" I'm going to have to start doing actual yardwork again. Haven't touched the mower in a month lol.

1.6" now. The worm has finally turned here I think.

Nothing severe, so I was posting in the Obs thread, but this is a drought buster. Over 4" for the month- haven't seen that since..February? Up to 1.6" now, mostly in the last hour.

It's me. You could have Googled it. Now go to bed.

After missing everything earlier, getting crushed with heavy rain now. Some decent T&L too. 0.92" and countung

I'll take that lol. Watching places just to the north get 1-2" while I have less than a tenth kinda sucks.

Second round a bit further north. Strike 2 .