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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    A successful outcome for that window continues to look dependent on a -WPO, +PNA, and a southward displaced TPV. A pretty favorable combo, but the AO/NAO is not good, so timing would be critical.
  2. CAPE
    Eh, not exactly the ideal look at h5 for a MA snowstorm. Surface isn't bad but if that HP ends up a bit further east it wouldn't end well. It's March though, and some weird shit can happen.
  3. CAPE
    Plenty of time. Nice to see an iteration that depicts a possible shortwave along the boundary at this juncture. As is its close to something decent.
  4. CAPE
    Something like the 12z euro did here-
  5. CAPE
    Maybe here- And here- As @frd posted, the WPO is tanking, plus the Polar Vortex is on our side, as advertised. Need to time something and hope its not just cold chasing a storm that tracks to our NW. Intriguing at the very least.
  6. CAPE
    Not sure it would be wasting money. It wont germinate until the soil warms up some- it will just be dormant for awhile.
  7. CAPE
    Ninas are pretty much death to your area in winter, which is in the downslope area of the higher terrain the to west. Ninos should be better with big coastal storms that aren't late developing/offshore. Maybe this coming winter will be more fruitful. In summer that same effect causes it to be generally dry (with prevailing westerly winds) relative to surrounding areas. A veritable desert. Frustrating for a weather enthusiast unless dryness is preferred.
  8. CAPE
    With a favorable Pacific and the TPV in that position, I think a moderate storm is possible. +NAO or not this isnt likely a 1993 type deal- which I wouldn't want anyway as it sucked here.
  9. CAPE
    Boilerplate.
  10. CAPE
    Potential around St Patty's day. Pretty good h5 look esp for mid March. A lot would have to break in our favor, but probably the next(last?) chance. As advertised, the Pacific is quite favorable. WPO ridge, lower heights around the Aleutians, and a +PNA. That in combination with a Southward displaced TPV can bring enough cold southward. Just need a wave to ride along the boundary.
  11. CAPE
    12/5: 1.3" 12/14: 1.8" 12/31: 0.2" 1/1: 0.1" 1/18: 0.4" 1/25: 7" snow/sleet (plus 0.3" zr) 2/23: 10" 3/2: 1.1" T: 21.9"
  12. CAPE
    Obligatory pic. Didn't pay much attention and wasn't expecting much, but did notice some of the guidance this morning had a streak of 'heavier' precip through here. Wasn't even snowing when I left work in Easton. Nice little finale if this is indeed the end of winter. Just over an inch. Next- early summer in a few days.
  13. CAPE
    29 with a steady light snow falling. A solid inch on the deck.
  14. CAPE
    My house is in that bright yellow band. Just looked at the cam and the ground is covered and snowing hard.
  15. CAPE
    Been a hell of a run there since 2017 compared to climo. Just looking at a webcam view of Rehoboth Ave and piles of snow everywhere including right along the sidewalks.
  16. CAPE
    @Jebman Ever watch this guy's videos?
  17. CAPE
    I love a cool Spring, maybe not endless 40s, but I don't want to see 70 until mid April, and 80 until mid May. Even then it should be fleeting. We do heat better than anything. I can wait.
  18. CAPE
    You're in the digital pink. Didn't think that was your thing.
  19. CAPE
    Sad
  20. CAPE
    Not seeing any hint of that on guidance. Not sure gut feelings mean a whole hell of a lot.
  21. CAPE
    Nina though. Ninos are usually warmish.
  22. CAPE
    I would hope that's the case, or we are fucked.
  23. CAPE
    More Ninas! Rarely cold enough to snow here in Ninos anymore, although I would roll the dice with another 2009-10 type deal. Hopefully see we the combo of a severe -AO/NAO with a Modoki Nino again. Would be interesting to see what the results would be now.
  24. CAPE
    Yeah I posted about this earlier. Still subject to change at this point. Whatever wave it is, it has to strike when that HP is in place to the north. Once it slides east off the coast its pretty much over for our area for a decent snow event.
  25. CAPE
    There are subtle differences at H5 the last several runs wrt the shortwave energy moving in from the west and the vorticity to the north- which impacts the exact location of the cold HP to the north. Yeah, we cant know yet.
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