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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    @raindancewx Thanks alot for the awesome data updates....very much appreciated. Tough to keep up as much this fall with a newborn. I remember looking at how paltry the ECMWF was with the ENSO peak last year and Isummarily dismissed it, which I seldom do. I was waiting to include it in my last blog update, but ended up leaving it out. Lol
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Fine with me...whatever the majority wants...
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    He just means relative to fall sensible weather.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I listed Saturday 12/21 as an option...
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    The CANsips image that Ventrice tweeted def. looks positive NAO. Little discrepancy...
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I'm not saying its classic -NAO.. I am fine with saying neutral.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    No more positive than the anonalies over Greenland. Neutral to slightly negative is my interpretation.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I disagree. There are modest positive anonalies INVO Greeland. We all agree its a nice look.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's why I said neutral to slightly negative..
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, which is why I don't agree with it being a replica of the past few seasons...its better, save for March 2018..
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    That looks like a neutral to even a modestly neg NAO to me...
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    None of the BS we had last season...we need to settle on a date and time to discuss what should be a decently wintery month of December. Oops.. sneak preview of outlook? We should do Monday 12/16, Friday 12/20, or Saturday 12/21, since Monday 12/23 isn't an option because Will usually melts if its too close to the holiday.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    That looks favorable to me.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, not buying a slow start....have had my mind made up on that.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Within a week...
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Seen @Isotherm lurking of late.....tis the season.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    She knows, by this point..
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Doesn't matter to me.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I always release on Nov 12.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    11-12 for me. Isotherm next week.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I will always be a little bitter about last season...one of my top analogs was 1968-1969, as the MEI was very low that year, too. Snow stake records, etc. Had I not missed the dearth of blocking, I would have nailed it....but I didn't, and I whiffed.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, the SSW providing the impetus for tremendous PV recovery coupled with a stagnant MJO doomed any prospect for second half blocking until............spring.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    People also lose sight of the fact that it was a pretty damn impressive year about 150mi nw of here.....this wasn't 2001-2002.
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