40/70 Benchmark

I didn't realize low levels went to crap....now it makes sense.

H7 over the cape...looks perfect.

H5 looks like it goes along the s coast to me....I have no issue with it.

Innovative trolling attempt with the deck stacked like this lol

Hopefully we can get it closer to LI, beforehand, as opposed to the Delmarva.

Yea, looks strong.

Man, good to see that consistency...Euro is locking in, synoptically speaking.

Yea, that I am not sure of....probably not many, so it would sense to just distinguish by whether there was a prominent s stream player.

Seems to be more energy hanging back near CC this wknd..not sure I like that.

Yea, fair enough. Like I said, I wasn't sure whether we were referencing storms that were literally ALL n Stream, or just mainly. No debate it was 90%+ N stream....

I missed the Megalopolis storm of '83...that makes 6. 1,3 6, 8, 11 and 15. I don't see this pulling a Jan 2016....maybe Dec 2009.

Jesus...a third of those are orgasmic for my area. Counting PD II as such, even though I got meso-porked.

Well, okay...I'm not saying it was a major contributor...all I am saying is that technically speaking, the notion that the blizzard of 1978 was 100% born of the N stream is a misperception. I am not sure what the specific criteria is for distinguishing between those two types of miller Bs.

Has March 2001....

http://archive.boston.com/news/weather/articles/2008/02/08/national_weather_services_history_of_the_blizzard_of_1978/#:~:text=THIS STORM IS KNOWN AS,OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. THE LOW PRESSURE AREA THAT WOULD BECOME THE BLIZZARD OF 78 FORMED FROM A DIVING ALBERTA CLIPPER SYSTEM OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE. ANOTHER WEAK LOW DEVELOPED OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. THESE SYSTEMS JOINED FORCES OFF THE VIRGINIA CAPES ON THE NIGHT OF MONDAY FEBRUARY 5 TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY...AS AN AREA OF HEAVY SNOW MARCHED ITS WAY UP THE EAST COAST EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

I disagree. It was mainly N stream, but there was a meager contribution from the south.

There was a weak wave coming up from the south, too. it moved off of the Carolinas...

Feb '78 was the former...

GEFS def trended a hair east and less impressive, but really noise.

I still see the protracted moderate impact as the higher likelihood.

Well, I feel like my floor is to the east. I'm not getting rain unless something drastically changes, and with the easterly fetch, I'd rather concede the deformation area, then risk a graze. I don't foresee big subby areas in E NE.

I mean, it could very well end up at either edge, but I'm not in bad spot, right now. Slightly more concerned about W tics, which is the problem that I'd rather have. Last thing I want is a graze.

Seems like the goal posts are a se MA special to a tuck job...I'm okay with that.

I was speaking to you, not at you.

To the contrary...if you won that run, then you have my condolences.