40/70 Benchmark

RGEM followed the NAM on the south trend, just not the stupid amounts.

Sure isn't Dracut? lol

Hopefully in didn't tell us to go tuck ourselves on round II

NAM was a perfect track for me, but eastern areas would like it to mature a hair more slowly on that track.

Its the NAM, and it probably won't happen, but that is not a drastic change....within reason that it could be a trend. Probably not, but...... Yea

Yea, it porked him, I guess, but even for him that was a step in the right direction generally speaking...

Better than 06z..moved me from 1" to 6".

I am probably the most biased and selfish sob on the board as far as my wishes go....forecasts another story-

Lets go for year number 17, shall we?

Why thank god? Its the most favorable piece of guidance, currently...

NAM also trimmed back the western edge in NYS a bit, which is a guilty pleasure of mine..

NAM was the exact trend that we needed....we are fine on the close off now; just need that se tick.

Yes...ugh. Sorry....zero sleep last night catching up. Damn, baby lol

Pretty good rule of thumb is that when Albany gets over 18", I won't.

I'm not confident that will work out...but we'll see.

My point is, look at the RGEM and euro snow output...the heaviest now extends further ne into Maine. That was not the case yesterday. This is becausw the H7 low matures more slowly. However what we need at this point is simply a further east track, rather than a slower capture. What has happened is that while the system has trended towards a slower maturation, which is good, it has also trended north, which is not. This is why NH and ME are availing of the slower capture by way of heavier snows and we aren't.

And I'm not debating a track too close for huge sne snows...in fact, I favor it. What we need most is simply further east track.

That would be a page out of last season...always a 7-10 split around here. Then the coastal nails dendrite to the north.

Maybe it has on a more westward surface low, I don't even know, but again....nothing has trended towards the notion of a shredded system for New England....which is my apparently very elusive point.

Well, north is same as west ha.

I don't agree with you. Nothing has moved towards it.

It already is if you look at the euro, but the problem remains that the low tracks too far west.

Its off the walls and extreme. Its def too far west to be a sne HECS, but UK is too much.

Did round 2 trend west?

I never argued with the tucked look. I have NYS jackpotting. I argued with the close off so far south, which skunked ne areas. Euro as of 00z was trending away from that with much heavier snow into Maine due to a slower maturation. You don't understand my point.