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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Clown maps are embellishing IMO.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could def. see that 30-40" figure.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is what my call as was last fall...near climo.....see if we can steal some in late Feb and March to go above.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Likewise.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the NAO holding into at least the first week of Feb is probably a pretty good bet. Not sure about PD, but....
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Been ready since Labor Day.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is a long range forecasting error that I will gladly take....would likely result in more snow, and its pretty explainable why with the SSW. I hate going snowy and busting.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looking more like the SSW may render FEB serviceable. We may have dodged a bullet.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Extend that neg NAO into that snowfall climo apex, and it could be fun times. Looks like it breaks down around PD now.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Scariest part is that in that image, the end looks as though its only just begun...
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't know....not as aggressive, but I think the GEFS are doing the same general thing that the EURO is. GEPS are much different, sure.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think this is a NE set up, as well, but I don't think the mean showing less snow than the OP is a red flag...par for the course.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    EPS def. followed the OP theme. GEFS are better....GEPS bleh.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    That Euro run is a prime example of what 2007-2008 would have looked like with a neg NAO. Would have been an epic season.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, that is a relief...this has a shot.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think that block is going anywhere....more worried about the SW lu--- ah, chaos.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had about 18" that run....won't bother with the map unless this is there through the weekend-
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    LOL Right...this run is obviously the ceiling.....
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Ends up like a mini 3/5/01.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think if the heights crash enough, we can alleviate that, somewhat....like a mini 2015 type deal....the gradient is displaced more to the south that run, since the ambient heights are so low in the NE.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like the difference was that the SW energy was more proficiently ejected into the N stream energy that came over the EPO ridge...the SW energy was more lethargic in joining the fray on 00z.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is the legit upside that we were talking about. Note how it goes from the 1001 to 990mb in 6 hours under LI.....that is what you want for good banding, as the rate of deepening is due to the mid levels coming together. You don't need to see a 960mb low for a major storm.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that period of the first legit threat.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hope for a coating.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Of course, I just mean general odds based on the pattern.
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