40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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06z EPS is pretty dead nuts on 12z EPS yesterday -
Yea, it zigs as the rest of the guidance zags.
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@Baroclinic Zone Let me know what confused you, and I'll elaborate...
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I wasn't melting over the EURO, but for instance, I need to remain mindful that a track over the BM doesn't yield climo results in this as far as deform placement, etc.
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Perfect example of why our upper tier events almost never crush the mid atl...you need to deal with this crap. It can and does work out, but there is more that can go wrong, and the ceiling is lowered a notch or two. When we first began tracking this, I threw up in my mouth a little when I saw the 20"+ totals in PA.
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Gotta be honest, I keep losing sight of this, as well.
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Yea, I meant qualitatively....more like 8-16", as opposed to 15-30".
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Yes.
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That is not far from a March 2018 look...
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Yea, def.....I could have done without seeing the OP Euro do that last night, but I would give it like 3 on the concern meter.
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CJ parade. Its not a disaster, but I have higher hopes.
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I'm not worried too much about it....subtle phasing nuance. Not as much N Stream insert, so less vort...track essentially the same, maybe a hair east.
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EURO kinda blows. Night.
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Looks like the GEM and Ukie are stalling it further north now...that little capture and tug NW was down by Norfolk, then the Delmarva, now its near NYC.
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LOL .01" in the CTRV.....hey, Dec 1992 dropped like 2" of snow there in Springfield...
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Can someone post the UK QPF map?
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If you take the mean of 12z over Bermuda, and 00z over NH, its right where it should be.
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Say what you want about that map, it is never too cold on thermals, unless the model itself is.
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Okay....TT is wrong.
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Toss those thermals...congrats on 15-20" on the Ukie.
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I am fine with that CMC run....people made it sound like it was 8".
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Something is up..... snowmap I have does not jive with what I read on here about the Canadian....that doesn't look like an E MA minimum to me....
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Deformation is probably our area.
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I'd totally go Pope, but just admit I was wrong, first.....I've had enough of this season, so if this one fails, that's it.
