40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Couldn't care less, just found it strange. -
Not sure what happened....must have been a glitch.
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GFS looks terrible to me...WTF
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SWFE lol
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There is a reason why stronger la nina climo isn't exactly littered with high-end east coast events....and the few that do exist are in the first half. Hey, this beats the hell out of January.
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Almost always happens....like I said, the captures, stalls, crawls in the medium and longer range end up as thumps in the shorter range.
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Yes, if we see that widespread, then tip of the cap....but I have reservations on that, aside from a band.
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Oh, sure....obviously depends where you live. I agree.
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Exactly. 12" is a major storm...memorable. But not upper tier...all I am saying.
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Right, but EURO agrees.
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Well...exactly....if you have a ton of 12"+ events, how anomalous is it?
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Steve, 1'+ is not a blockbuster around here....wouldn't sniff top 20. 20" is when we can talk....I'm not saying it isn't a memorable, great event...but blockbuster is upper tier, historic.
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If we get widespread 20"+, okay....lets see that.
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The arctic airmass vacates.....love how the other system blocks and delays the storm, but the arctic air just pulls a Houdini and vanishes right through everything.
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Like mid teens to mid 30's. Will has the mesonet image saved.
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Even during a blocked flow...you still get the interference. Pacific state and flow make it difficult.
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Its also getting the WCB further north each run.
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That is not absurd...pretty routine. 12/16/07 had an insane front.
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The ICON has juiced over NE MA for like several consecutive runs.
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This is partly why you don't get blockbusters in stronger la nina events....splattering of PAC waves everywhere, so they manage to interfere with one another just enough.
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I was saying earlier...this is akin to one of the post ERC hurricanes.....as it approaches, the cat 4-5 winds go "poof", as the circulation becomes large and ragged, and the weenies start to focus on the areal coverage of surge and cat 1-2 winds. Same thing here.....
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Agreed....the "no blockbuster in the second half of a mod or strong nina" rule looks to stand.
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You see it time and time again....everyone talks up how slowly it moves...capture this, and cut off that....crawl over there....then as we get near the event...."nice thump".....
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I like it....I'd love it if the ULL didn't stretch from Raliegh, NC to MHT.
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Its a nice thump, but not much sign of the "crawling, stalling, etc"....looks like a pretty ordinary slug that sweeps through.
