I think there may be an area of subby between the fire hose induced low level front in eastern NE, and the mid level deformation back over the Berkshires-NYS-VT.
Give this type of event over a subby hold ridden, CJ plagued mess like 12/17, any time, any day.
I know it sucks south of Boston, it time to regress, I guess. It heartens the soul, but regress-eh, digress.....lol
You have no idea what I would pay, and the havoc I'd wreak. You think people are on edge now due to covid? Let mother nature allow me to take the wheel....Feb 2015 from Novie through March, every season.
First of all, no one is ever a douche for calling me on something that ends up incorrect....especially if it results in more snow lol
Secondly,I never said it was impossible...just pretty rare, but if its ever going to happen, it would be with an extreme NAO block on the level of 2010.
Lets just let it play out, though...
Yea, much safer run for you guys out there...with still the possible exception of CTRV. Not only downslope from easterly fetch, but also maybe subby due to deformation just west. I could see one max with lower fronto east, then another way out in Berks or e NYS into VT w mid level fronto.
Still think there is a reasonable shot it wnt be this far west, though. Watch for this amped trend to steady and potentially even reverse this wknd.