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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I still say at the end of the day, we should be able to muster enough n stream insert for a good foot of snowfall, given the -NAO/PNA tandem. I can't imagine the well is that dry with the PAC that active. We will know by 12z tmw.
  2. Difference is that was a track issue. This is track and occlusion...my concern is more the latter. The Dec system was occluding, albeit at a much slower rate because it had better SW mechanics.
  3. The occlusion/LBSW makes what would normally heavily favor SNE a crap shoot.
  4. I think we are both in the same boat for diff reasons...NYC has shot at the first load, while we do not. We have a shot at the secondary hook-redevelopment, and they do not. Only high confidence crush is a portion of the mid atl.
  5. I am more open minded with this one than I normally am with Miller Bs because the S stream is involved and we see that LBSW. All bets are off with that. I can't stand when the mid atl gets crushed because the question that immediately follows is how will that limit SNE snow.....bc 9.9/ ten times it will.
  6. No argument....I just love the sport. I just wish those who are satisfied with 5" of 3 days could appreciate the perspective of those who don't.
  7. I'm all for giving credit where its due, but I just feel like that is dumb 4 days out in a fairly fluid situation. NYC gets creamed, and Boston gets 5", I'll be the first to give you credit.
  8. Called what? A cycle of model undulations 4 days out? Same people who would have milked his chode for nailing the 3' blizzard runs 72 hours out in 1/27/15.
  9. Me being greedy with snow as just as good as you being greedy with 4 WS titles in 16 years. I can appreciate a rebuild cycle,....you can appreciate 8" over 36 hours. Congrats.
  10. I don't understand why you keep spiking NYC's football. They aren't any better off, and possibly worse.
  11. I still think this comes back somewhat, though I never expected a HECS. Not happening this year.
  12. OMG, they haven't won the WS in three years!!! Jesus, its a rebuild...deal.
  13. I'll go 12z tomorrow....cape can have the 6-8" busted ravioli...personally, I'd rather not.
  14. I said last night, that would be my tipping point...I wouldn't even melt. I've already done that. I'd leave...this season has already taken enough from me with so little return. Spring Training begins soon.
  15. Amazing how everything that has developed this season has been LBSW...you would have never guessed that in a mod la nina.
  16. This storm is like a post ERC hurricane....large, wobbly, and not at all pretty to look at it. The high end potential is mitigated, and folks try to reconcile that with the fact said mitigated impacts will be more expansive in scope. "Its only a cat 2, but spread out over 100mi and what a surge"="It tacks over Bermuda and may not be 20", but more people in the game for 10".
  17. You can tell it was windy and the air was well mixed because you were colder than I was.
  18. Probably not with respect to H5 positioning, but potentially in term of anticipated sensible weather across the region..
  19. Even with the cold vacating prior to the onset of the storm, there is an advantage to having the marine layer flushed out with an arctic surge, prior to a prolonged easterly fetch....
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