Ultimately, I agree about my area remaining snow because the OP is more amped than the steadfast EPS mean, however, I do see the relative lull in your area as a very prominent feature.
I agree...issue is where does it bloom and how late lol I have always bought the first H5 closure jack in mid atl, with a lull either in NYC or CT, then secondary maxima ORH points ne into ME.
It makes sense to me....just as the precip type concerns do out my way. There is going to be an area of lesser QPF between the original H5 closure back in PA, and the coastal taking over.
I could see NYC doing very well....its a tough call bc it depends on when that initial mid level orgasm begins to die off....up towards central CT may be the greater likelihood. That is a tougher call...I think the easier call is to hedge east on when N stream takes over.
I was fine with today's event...only had 3", while many had 5-6"....but I think alot of people would be irritated with 8", while 20 mi south had 20". And of those who deny it, 80% are lying.