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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, all of the ensembles deal with the same ingest...if they all are underestimating the vort, then it shouldn't be a surprise. If it still looks like this in 24 hours, okay....but I have a hunch those 970s on the western end of the envelop may gain more credence.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    We'll probably be high fiving online at 115am tonight.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    About 40oz of my first call
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know the clown maps are 2-4", but I think it would be a little more than that...like 3-6".
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its a little better here...the early reads are so dramatic.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Need to see H7 and ensembles....
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Slow, timed release through seat of pants
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll let you know in about 10-15 minutes.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hey, the maps are better than when they were totally made of arrows lol
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not a pro anything, aside from social worker, and am pretty nervous about that map, but trusting my gut here.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Classic weenie goggles focusing on the higher end outcome.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think those numbers are that big if this comes together as it should....
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    If current guidance is to be believed, sure.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Here is my first crack at it. Final shot at it on Thursday. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/01/first-call-for-fast-moving-major-winter.html
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    GEFS illustrate this nicely in the mean.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Even that GFS solution would place the best snows around I95 from Taunton to Boston up through the N shore, looking at H7. Not that bad.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    No. The GFS just grazes...its not LBSW. System still maxes out NE.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Truth will probably lie between GFS and EURO, but wait until tomorrow AM.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I suffered through a whole season of LBSW last year. This is why I love N stream systems.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sey-Mour cirrus?
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I said going into this season....LBSW is so last year. We LBNE
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    In the sense that the upper levels are closing as it traverses New England, yes.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, but the point is with a vort like that it should...I'm not basing this off of the NAM, but that particular run happened to illustrate my point.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    The very best may end up south of you, but you should do fine imo....and as you said, just wait for a golfer to queef and the plows will be out up there, anyway.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's why I am laughing....the deformation will end up right over them.
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