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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. My wife just got her green card, so we are going to see her family....she hasn't seen her parents in person for about 6 years.
  2. Euro was the first to latch onto the idea that Pete would be a waste of a name...I guess it won that bet. lol
  3. I leave on 10/8 and will be in Africa until just prior to Halloween, so I'll try to send some nice waves across lol
  4. I learned that the hard way as a kid lol...I was throwing rocks at a nest...my dad warned me stop, then before I knew it, I was swarmed and had to be taken to the ER haha
  5. I have found this in the SNE threads everytime @Damage In Tolland posts. @ORH_wxman and @CoastalWx can verify.
  6. I don't think so.....climo is established not by coincidence. Having that forecast be a "cop out" implies that you should be forecasting extremes, which is generally ill advised at extended leads.
  7. Not what I said. All I implied was at least one month averaging a neg NAO/AO is likely.
  8. Dec 2001 had a SSW? Wow, that one was useless lol Latter Dec/early Jan makes sense to me for this year
  9. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/09/enhanced-risk-for-significant-episodes.html
  10. I don't know, maybe I am missing something, but I would be surprised if this la nina event reached moderate strength, at this point...not that it means a great deal in the grand scheme of things.
  11. I think the moral of the story is that this winter should be serviceable in the east.
  12. What is your NAO formula looking like? Must be getting to that point soon...
  13. I feel like a very similar evolution to last year with a bit less blocking would play out pretty nicely in my area....shove that shear zone NE.
  14. West based la ninas are warmer, though...
  15. I wonder if that Indonesian convection that scooter keeps hinting at could induce somewhat of a STJ presence this season? I'm not saying 100" in Boston, but you know what I mean...
  16. If memory serves correct, we generated a bit of blocking, and there were some nice events that easily could have buried the coast, but instead favored the deep interior, regardless....kind of like Feb 2007. Chaos is often the deciding factor in the end...
  17. Feb '95 was a break or two away from being a really good month....as it was, I had one event of around a foot.
  18. I do not think blocking sticks around. I will entertain the idea that it may redevelop in March, perhaps, but there will be an extensive break. That doesn't have to mean no snow during that period...especially up and in.
  19. Right....those are the dead-ratters....the '99 rat was still twitching a bit.
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