40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Later this week is poised to dissapoint, but this month still has plenty of time to be quite memorable.....I'm just over 20", so we'll see what we can muster the last two weeks of the month. I like Steve's chances of hitting 30" in most spots.
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Now that all of the smoke is clearing, its become apparent that there may never be a fire.
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Mini, mini, mini, mini, mini, mini, mini, microscopic Feb 2015
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There is a reason I have never really touched this thread....its always been a ton of smoke without much fire.
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Man, you need to move if this is in your top 10
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The complete lack of frontogenesis was a red flag....knew we wouldn't see a repeat of the Sunday band, but figured maybe still scrap together several inches of fluff in a few spots. Will have to see if it comes together....I'm not that invested.
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Don't you mean south? lol
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No, I will have to sit home and use time.
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Pretty much the same as my map, just broken into smaller ranges.
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Cosgrove has been insistent the pattern goes through March, and breaks in early April....warms up quickly, so we actually have a decent spring. I agree, at this point.
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Its good...it wasn't a shot at you, I just really meant its pointless arguing over subtle differences that are in each within the realm of plausibility.
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I agree, either scenario is possible....and in that case, I defer to the more skilled guidance, which is the EURO....but I think my 3-7" swath covers it.
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Sorry to ruin the HECS chances, but Vegas is off.....staying local because governor is still so paranoid about traveling out of state, which is a risk, since I am a state employee. Boss advised against it. I think I would get away with it, but the wife is pretty sure she can't stay of social media. so....
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Yea, woosh. Only 3 people I know of that got that were Cosgrove, DT and Steve.
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I don't think there is a cross hair sig, anywhere....but I gave up debating him. Its fruitless. I could see it sinking back southward a bit. Good luck to all.
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The reason the gradient is not as sharp to the east is because the mid level lows begin developing a south a bit, upon exit....
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I agree.....I think the best "banding" signal, which is weak, is between the pike and NH border.
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Final Call: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/02/snowy-tuesday-final-call.html
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This is what I was referring to...if we had any fronto whatsoever, there would be another death band.
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Compromise for us...the NARCAN map is probably decent, but that EURO run was pretty strong, so I would probably use it as upper bounds.
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Its when strong OMEGA (lift) is centered tightly within the fully saturdated Snow Growth Zone (SGZ) on the sounding. I only learned about it from busts over past couple of years.
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Pretty weak cross hair, too....won't seeing any stray 12" reports in this one. upper range of snow maps should do it.
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I don't think we will see the insane band that we had yesterday....fronto seems to be virtually non-existent.
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See, I do not mind the moderate events in this pattern. Its when I get 5" with bare ground and nothing else in site that leaves something to be desired. I don't need a bomb in this pattern, though obviously one would be preferred anytime beyond Monday.
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NARCAN
