40/70 Benchmark

Sounds reasonable. Good luck.

FEB 1 FEB 1 FEB 1 FEB 1 FEB 1 FEB 1

Yea, I got that in that one event. Tough luck for you....you'll be back in the saddle next year, most likely.

I'm not whining at all. I'm discussing the snowfall.

What do you have on the month? Feb 1 is the only event that kept this season from being an abomination worst than last season, here....I get that its been colder, but I mean in terms of snowfall.

34.7, up from a low of 8.6

I'll bet @Typhoon Tip could shed some light at why.....

I have had 26" this month....season has been servicable.

My rough patches look to be NYC, Tolland, ORH and NNE....thought still plenty of time to make up ground up north. Much better effort than the past two season. December-March Snowfall Outlook City Predicted Snowfall Actual Forecast Error Boston, MA 40-50" ? ? NewYork, NY(Central Park) 11-21" ? ? Philadelphia, PA 11-21" ? ? Baltimore, MD 10-20" ? ? Washington, DC 5-15" ? ? Albany, NY 52-62" ? ? Hartford, CT 40-50" ? ? Providence, RI 25-35" ? ? Worcester, MA 50-60" ? ? Tolland, CT 40-50" ? ? Methuen, MA 50-60" ? ? Hyannis, MA 15-25" ? ? Burlington, VT 80-90" ? ? Portland, ME 70-80" ? ? Concord, NH 65-75" ? ?

2009-2010 being bad here was a fluke. Why do you hate super el ninos? Look at the storm we had had in Feb 1983!!!

Take the Feb we had and run....the blocking stole Feb.

It bites all right.....

That chart doesn't tell the whole story, either....the structure is very important. I will take a modoki el nino regardless of strength over any la nina.

The most favorable ENSO state for snowfall is weak el nino. I don't care what data you find. I will grant you that a super el nino is probably worse than a super la nina....not merely strong, but very strong.

Big Ninas are generally hostile, anyway....that is an indisputable fact. Least favorable ENSO state.

Yea, the valleys maybe tough everywhere. Hopefully the low end of the 1-2" range covers it....otherwise, I'll live-

Few thoughts on Monday and thereafter. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/02/weak-disturbance-monday-heralds-arrival.html

It's about average right now, but I'm betting that it finishes below.

About 15".

1956.

Pass. Really hoping for all rain, as I'm over dealing with nuisance snow during a work day.

Three consecutive below avg snowfall seasons IMBY...most in recorded history and first time in 21 years.

I disagree....just a unique evolution this season.

It was more than blocking. It was the overall placement and orientation of the long wave trough this year. Believe it or not, I think the -PNA actually benefitted your area, too bc it kept shredding systems that otherwise would have nailed NE. The blocking did this more earlier in the season when there was a +PNA, but then later in the season when it kept happening event when the NAO neutralized some be because the RNA developed and kept a compressed flow in place. The energy would dump west, and begin to attenuate on approach to the east coast. This is also why everything was LBSW in that it would nail NYC/NJ longitude, and peter out some over here.That is something unique to this season bc regardless of blocking and how the Pac look, latitude is usually beneficial in la nina...look at 2010-2011. NYC did well, but NE better. Not this year.