40/70 Benchmark

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I’m pretty surprised there’s no watch for N ORH county. Guess they think it’s below 50% chance for 6”+ there. Might not be a large enough area too, but they may have to issue one if 12z stays on the colder side. 

Yea, I would be about ready to go Watch there.

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

They kept much of the discussion from yesterday. #saveitforthenextshift

Eleanor back?

4 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

I've got a handy from a handsome genny. He usually wheels me out then puts a hurting on me while folding me over the table. I leave the back door open. Poor mans shelter but I only do this when I'm feeling like a bad boy. Does everyone else open up the hiny to a handsome genny or do they leave it uncovered and hope for the best

Time to spring into the offseason.

BOX must be looking forward to my obs this week....right on the edge of the snow shield at the northern periphery of the coverage area.

5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Now if you post another of thoze gonzo Narcan maps, that's a different story

This is in fact inches BTW...

2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Yep   That's all I am looking for

Yea, good qualitative tool more so than quantitative.

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea.

I think this is reasonable attm.

Caveat being I would be more inclined to utilize Kutchie in the hills...so maybe 6-12" N ORH hills....3-6" for my area.

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

If you get one more tick colder, then you’ll be in big snows I think…right now it’s still a lot of sleet contamination. 

Yea.

I think this is reasonable attm.

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I agree with you. The Kuchie maps keep getting more aggressive, but the +depth change maps are chilling at around 3". That is a flag....tells me you need to be around 1K to see those Kuchie amounts.

Just now, Chrisrotary12 said:

Question: when y’all referring to the MA/NH border….. the 0-200’ ASL part or the 1,000’ above ASL part? Lol

2 minutes ago, DomNH said:

Yes I know lol I just feel like our ceiling is going to be maybe 2-4’’ of slush tomorrow night. 

I agree with you. The Kuchie maps keep getting more aggressive, but the +depth change maps are chilling at around 3". That is a flag....tells me you need to be around 1K to see those Kuchie amounts.

Clown maps are garbage....most of use here undertand that, but for folks near the border there is still value in that they are an indicator for trends.

17 minutes ago, DomNH said:

Problem with those GFS clown maps in this area is that most of what falls after 12z Thursday, if it’s even snow, probably isn’t accumulating much, especially on pavement. Heaviest rates are Wednesday night into Thursday which could bring a few sloppy inches but anything after that I’m skeptical. The snow depth maps aren’t all that impressive outside of the elevated areas. 

I wasn't taking the map at face value when I posted about it so much as reflecting on the fact that it treneded southward again.

Clearly I am not getting 2' of snow.

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Wow (pleads with self not to do it)

4 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Congrats Jeffafafafa Dendrite RayRay, Euro

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro looks unimpressed in SNE. Nice hit for SW Maine though.

Lol

6 hours ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Shit, I lost track, are you a military guy (or previous)?

Marine vet.

Just now, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Y'all need to get one of those jobs where all you have to do is send emails to people requesting that they respond to your previous email.

Yea, I'm sick.

5am role call for cardio ....HIIT.

FML..I need to sleep.

1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Could be one hell of a sleet storm for many NoP, maybe not snow but still high impact.

9.9 out of 10 times those epic sleet deals don't pan out...it either ends up mainly rain or snow. Only time I recall it coming to fruition is VD Day 2007.

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea then it warms and tracks over Kevin’s window units.

Man, it insists on driving that secondary inland.

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Will was saying earlier, if the primary was significantly west, that could also change the evolution of the coastal. 

That is how we got croaked in 12-16-07....but that one only triple pointed. This hopefully redevelopes the mid levels in time to protract things with a CCB.

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Def Coming in colder at least through 51h 

Makes sense...less mid level WAA as the primary gets hung out in the MW.

I think the largest take away is that the primary is much further west. Need to have that meander out there and have the secondary take over. 

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

HRRR pelting all of SNEs face off.

CNE, too?

8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Just go guns blazing…roll with the 18z gfs narcan. 

I love this time of year when I get to have one eye on the blog and one on the waiver wire.