Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
  • Posts

    72,411
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Can see the beginning of the end of the milder pattern at the end of the EPS on 12/17 with the Aleutian ridging en route to AK, as that vortex finally shifts eastward..my first look at guidance this season, and it looks right on cue to get very wintery before the holidays.
  2. That EURO run was brutal for me...20" over the next 10 days like 60 mi to my north, and like 4" here.
  3. Not bad...I'm doing $25 monthly for wxbell, which has really good graphics IMO...and getting business package from F5 for Dec through March for only $25 total (not monthly), as have worked out an arrangement with some of the guys here.
  4. That makes sense...only reason I do not do yearly is because I have close to zero interest in mid latitude weather during the summer....my attention shifts to the tropics and I get everything I need in that respect from the free packages.
  5. Especially you guys, but it can be the highest percentage pattern from around Boston points north.
  6. Yea, this speaks to what I was saying to Luke about climo...it is a winter month, but for SNE, the season is still ramping up.
  7. Exactly this. Its not a textbook winter pattern, but you can't just look at a table of indexes and make assumptions...you need to glean insight from the hemispheric nuances and such. This is not a slam dunk-skunk, and can actually be rather snowy for a lot of us.
  8. That is all I am saying....not that a great December is a slam dunk. I feel like it will be good for at least most of us, but obviously I could be off..... I just don't see how anyone can be confident either way right now.
  9. Unless you are fortunate enough to have a perfect pattern with ideal placement of +PP, the route to a plentiful December in terms of snowfall for coastal SNE is positive AO/NAO with a plentiful supply of cold in Canada. Not to say there isn't risk involved with that, but there is more risk for the coast with early season coastals IMHO. The 12/5/2003 events are not that common.
  10. December 2007 was like that...whopper of a +polar domain, but it was biased towards us. Obviously we got lucky getting record snows out of it...
  11. This is exactly why I am not sure why people are jumping off of cliffs with respect to December right now. Obviously it doesn't look like it will be an epic pattern in a prototypical sense, but the punt conversation is stilly.
  12. I don't mean the whole season...I just mean that period as currently modeled verbatim.
  13. Yea, it came down to luck....the timing sequence was just off that year, and it was on in 2007.
  14. I said yesterday, this pattern reminds me a lot of the 2018-2019 season.
  15. Here is the link for package descriptions. If we can't get one or two more people, you both can probably just subscribe to pro, like I did for $15 (includes ensembles and UK etc), or basic for $10. F5Weather Weather Forecasts & Models ECMWF UKMET ACCESS GEM ICON (f5wx.com)
  16. The only thing that you can post that won't elicit a weenie from Kev is Lips N' Hips
  17. Well, think it over...if I can get at least like 5 people, then I will. F5 has by far the most accurate snowfall maps...the rest of the graphics are meh....aside from great RAD simulations.
×
×
  • Create New...