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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I'm not even scanning models for threats right now because I just can't place any stock into it.
  2. I can't remember a period in which my confidence in guidance was lower. The only thing that I can say with confidence is that this isn't going to be one of those super PV seasons, January thaw not withstanding.
  3. It is, and posts like that are great....but there isn't any doubt some of his posts are just meant to break balls. lol
  4. I think the first half of the 80s were better....the late 80s early 90's was the absolute pits. The only good winter in the second half of that decade was 1986-1987. 81-82 was very good, and 82-83 and 83-84 were salvageable.
  5. It doesn't necessarily need to....but it will relax from record levels.
  6. I'm not saying that it can't be made up...what I mean by a loss is that it wasn't fulfilling for winter enthusiasts.
  7. I think that's mainly due to guidance initially trying to rush the MJO into phase 8, which I was always skeptical of.
  8. Well, when you spend a month writing, you hope to not just flush it down the toilet when its all wrong lol As far as being upset, I think we are all angered by that which we can not control at one time or another....doesn't mean that I don't understand that I can't control it. Believe me, December is proof of the fact that I don't control it.
  9. Well, you are off to a good start...we'll leave it at that for now.
  10. December was a complete loss form SNE points southward...that isn't really debatable. Again, its frustrating because the blocking materialized, but unfortunately, so did a record breaking RNA at the same, precise time.
  11. It has, just a little further north than you had thought...Brian and Jeff are doing well. lol
  12. This seemed like a preemptive back pat, but perhaps I read too much into it.
  13. Per my definition of it, I was right. Its going to be in the upper 30s on Xmas.
  14. A ratter this season would be unprecedented given the healthy episode of blocking that occurred in a la nina December. The naysayers can attempt to negate that with all of the subjective dribble that they would like, but that is simply fact. Again, there can be a first for everything, and our period of records is relatively small, but it is what it is.
  15. My melt was limited in scope...I'm not cancelling winter like 1717 and all of them. I'm just disgusted with December. No way we get out of this season without a very good stretch IMHO.
  16. Folks just need to understand that there is a seasonal lag, so on average you don't get the harshest winter weather during the solstice in the mid latitudes.
  17. Nice deflection....its not about how much you value snowfall in March, the point it that March is still snowfall season, whether you like it or not.
  18. Riddle me this....Phineas gets suspended, but we never have reprieve from this dude's dribble....show the planet where that logic is applied.
  19. 6 weeks takes us to the climo peak of the snowfall season, early Feb....there's like another 5-6 weeks left for snowfall beyond that.
  20. There is plenty of time for the season...I'm speaking of December. This month is over AFAIC.
  21. Well, the writing is on the wall, at this point....the verdict is in, and this month is guilty of sucking a$$ hardcore. We're onto January.
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