No, that is very fair. My guess is that the pattern breaks down toward month's end, maybe last week.
Well, that is our right as hobbyists....I feel it amplifies the disappointment.
Nah, I'm fine...he's just breaking balls, which is how to keep sane right now as a weenie. I apologize for the other night....I was beat and should have just let that go.
Anyone under the impression that Friday or Monday has a reasonable chance to be major is deluding themselves...that's just fact. Is what it is. Not saying winter is over.
I don't understand what is unreasonable about my post above. You confirmed the first two are whiffs or at least nothing major......so we wait until later in the month before the pattern begins to break down. Stop me when I strayed from what you just said. Maybe we have time for one major system before the pattern begins to change, in addition to a potential phase changer?
The longwave pattern is just off for us this season (aside from that 15 mile wide band, epic there)....one thing I have noticed all season...December and continues into January even during a new pattern, is that everything amplifies off shore and crushes the maratimes.
The realistic hope is a phase change deal later in the month as the pattern breaks down. Negative things happen in life....deluding is just as harmful as being a debbie.
My point is that negative NAO pattern was negated by record RNA, but more often than not, I'm still scoring more than 2" in a pattern like that during a la nina. I mean, I can also say that early January wasn't "shit"..its all subjective.
Relative to the pattern this season, EVERYONE in SNE has been porked....that is just fact. Sure, maybe the cosmic dildo that violated some is more jagged than that which entered others.
Has it ever occurred to you that most people on here speak from a perspective that is oriented towards their own experiences, as they have experienced in their own BY?
Even so, you are still below average snowfall.
That is a reason I gave in the blog why the whiff scenario is favored.....the rising heights in the NAO region support that Friday ocean deal hanging around longer.
Not fair, dude. Who was getting killed all December saying this winter wasn't a lost cause. But you can't just sign off on heavy snow when there isn't strong support for it.