40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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As bad as the NAM is, its still like an ensemble member capable to spotting a trend....I honestly get a bit nervous sometimes when I see it super amped this close in, and that is the truth. Who would have thought the OP GFS would lead the amped charge on a coastal? -
Hold it back and conserve it for the next one...delayed but not denied. Ha
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Imagine if it even ended up a fish? LOL The weather weenie section at the Bill's stadium would be filled with nooses Saturday night.
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I'll take whatever I can get. Even the 00z EURO was a legit winter storm for most of us....just have the bleeding stopped, and salvage a respectable storm as we continue in a good pattern.
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You know what I meant
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I think some would....there are those who legitimately employ sound logic, and others who utilize that as a defense mechanism, or aversion to reality if you will....I could have written my thesis for my MSW on this place.
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That is one of those obnoxious elements of this place.....when things are not going the way of cold and snow, so many people, whether they like the solution or hate it, scrutinize every word typed. Whether it be out of frustration, or trolling.
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Another semantical sodomist. Hopefully the trend stops today.
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GEFS over ACK......if we can at least stop the trend today, this is still a legit winter storm for most of us, just not a blockbuster. These ensemble tracks jive with my feelings all along right now, but again...lets stop the trend.
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I will say this...there is a reason I won't blog about this until tomorrow at the earliest.
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JMHO to get like a foot here...not for several inches to rain.
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Looks like 06z EPS mean is over Taunton, but the median is more like Boston.
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Waiting for the next event.
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I hope it works out for Jeff...not many areas boned worse than me the past couple of years, but his area def has.
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I think it goes hand in hand....weaker and/or further east first wave allows more space for amplification upstream, which increases earlier/more phasing with the PV lobe.
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I was always thinking cape, too.....lets see what happens today.
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Sure did....its not complicated. A meager wave provides less interference.
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Right, which is why I said that we need to see an abrupt reversal today...not a 20 miles tick east by 3 EPS members...a jarring reversal.
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The ultimate irony is that everyone wanted that to trend weaker and further away so that it didn't negatively interfere with this next one. Careful what we wish for....
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The wipers run out of steam with less lead time, though, which is why we are currently in a precarious position.
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Like it or not, we will be in a period that is favorable for "threats" for at least a couple of weeks....just how often we get boned is up in the air.
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I agree.
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Yea, same page. John and Steve still did an excellent job identifying this period, but the devil within the details can be a bitch.
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We could still see an abrupt trend like the OPs did westward yesterday, but it would need to happen today.
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All? Shit, win? I am looking for a freaking tie in just one event Should be another decent threat before the 23rd or so, but this is probably the biggest fish.
