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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Not at all...not as nuts as GEFS of course, but looks good.
  2. EPS looks like its going to have worse ridging out west than GEFS....like the OPs. GEPS look more like GEFS.
  3. Euro back to being more aggressive with the kicker, which is why it nails NS. Jesus....all of the models have the origins of this thing in the Bahamas before the N Stream insert....this is how you get mutant snowfall totals.
  4. I was saying earlier.....GFS has been on a heater....been leading the way often. This wouldn't shock me.....the snow drought in this area will probably end with a bang-
  5. One of the more impressive ensemble run I have seen at this range.
  6. I'm less worried about that PNW kicker tonight....it looks pretty far upstream now.
  7. Bit se, but take. Man, am I weather horny
  8. We are due for some....STJ has been unusually active for la nina. I did expect that, but thought we would have had more Miller Bs by now. That is why I have had hardly any snow...no SWFE, Miller B plus a bit of bad luck equals bare ground in Methuen.
  9. No, I agree. I was just about to post that I think it's too warm with that set up....high isn't perfect, but nothing like that last deal. I think its both... NARCAN is too stingy in low levels, and globals too warm
  10. Just warmer....but you are right....can't sweat detes right now. Fun week ahead, bro.
  11. GFS NARCAN would send me to loony bin, too...like a sprig storm with heavy amounts only under best lift....where else? CT and RI up to ORH. Really not a fan of these thermals....hope that changes.
  12. That Canadian run verbatim would put me in a rubber room....2' over ORH county, and like 5" of glop here.
  13. I highly doubt it, but can't rule anything out at this point.
  14. Yea, have to watch the thermals as we get closer....unbelievable, 10 days of arctic cold and its gone as the huge storm approaches.
  15. Man, if I had to deal with cold rain in this after 10 days of cold and dry I would absolutely go nuclear.
  16. No way CMC will be as good...I don't like the n stream energy crushing the ridge out west. GFS is much weaker with that.
  17. Yea, i have it out to day 6 and was noting it looks similar...PNA ridge a bit more disjointed.
  18. Not necessarily....I mean, it is near peak cold climo.
  19. Seems like the airmass is meh....def more 12/92 parallels.
  20. I didn't say it locked in at 200 hours out, but it was absolutely the first to go west. I remember clearly....believe me. I prayed it was wrong.
  21. Wrong. Ensembles were. GFS was first to go west.
  22. GFS has been hot, dude....was the first to lock on to the inland catastrophe.
  23. I think by 00z Tuesday that energy should begin to be sampled, and by 12z Tuesday, we will know.
  24. How long until the "There's the demon" clip surfaces
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