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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Mildly disappointed with 12z suite.....I understand the lead time, before Steve jumps down my throat.
  2. Final Call https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/01/final-call-for-messy-mlk-monday.html
  3. Yea, I wouldn't have myself is all. Nit a big deal and seems to warrant.
  4. I'll take one final look at this in the PM, but probably going to be like 1-3" here.
  5. Weenies scorned. I think this one will work out, but won't ever dare start the thread.
  6. Euro has struggled, but believe me...people would often laugh off the NAM advancing sleet north very quickly, and the pelts would laugh last.
  7. Been on that since October. Between now and about Feb 14. Between Jan 21 and Feb 14 was my exact timetable.
  8. Yea, its immaterial to me...I still think next season is el nino. I agree about the reversal in 1992, as well. Yup.
  9. All I am saying is that I have been on this forum tracking storms in great detail for over 15 years, and it's always been apparent that the NAM excelled at resolving mid level warming. It doesn't mean it's a better model, but it does have some strengths. It became apparent during the SWFE laden seasons of 2007-2008 and 2008-2009.
  10. With respect to the mid level warm tongue in SW flow aloft, it would....you are wrong. I'm not saying that the euro hasn't had issues since the upgrade, but the NAM has always been the best model to detect that.
  11. I didn't look and won't because I don't care....just going off of what they said.
  12. I disagree with you. The NAM has always excelled with mid level warming...always.
  13. Yea, the upside is 35 and rain. Personally, I'd rather warm sector.
  14. I don't think it's that big of an indictment of the euro...its well known that NAM excels with respect to mid level warm tongues.
  15. I was already convinced that we would go into el nino. Volcanic eruptions can also cool the polar strat...at least initially, so it's not that simple. Pinatubo in 1991 had that effect IMO.
  16. I'll take my chances on that unique butt-banger evolution not taking place again.
  17. At least there aren't any little red Ls over Binghamton
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