40/70 Benchmark

The flow isn't progressive, just the storm is lol

If it does, it will probably kick back up the coast (northeast) some at the 12th hour.

Well, as the bodies of despondent Buffalo Bills fans continue to plunge into Lake Erie, folks here in New England should have eyes peeled out west this week....as it is the rather small nuances with respect to the atmospheric heights in this area that will ultimately determine whether our region sees what has the potential to be a literal blizzard on Saturday, or perhaps a mere glancing blow with some snow. The upside is like nothing we have seen for several years, so a very volatile situation to say the least. Considering the manner in which this season has evolved, or hasn't, there must be somewhat of a "boy who cried wolf" ambiance emerging, but this season has and continues to be an atmospheric powder keg just waiting to erupt. But alas', you can't shovel "potential"...should have a good idea by Tuesday. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/.../major-winter...

The GEPS mean is right over the BM, or even a hair inside of it.

Nice cluster just outside BM

Its on.

Phew....

Fine with me lol

Especially after what just happened on MLK day to keep me at 10".

Fine with me.

You're so mean.

Right...that, too.

That was just bc of track....no dry air in N NJ LOL

I honestly think at that point, if they are that deep, it must be so phased that it keeps moving along. Could be just a bias on my part, but I feel like the biggest snow totals come from like 970-980mb deals.

Lol that 958mb over the BM on the EPS is cute.

Feb 2006 storm...nailed it

I will probably get something out tonight just introducing the threat...nothing too deep. I need to be careful bc I feel like I have been crying wolf all season long, especially early bc I was gung ho on a nice December due to the blocking signal. Def more measured with this so I don't feel like an ass again.

Def NOT a LBSW look for once.

Sorry to hear. Three of my sister in laws, my brother and nephew all had it last week.

Well, some of it was sarcastic. I get the interpretation differences with respect to the 00z ensemble suites, but the storm punting stuff was sarcastic. No question.

I think you missed some day 7 sarcasm last night.

Hope she recovers soon.

Yea, I get that...maybe he didn't lol

West of River

I'm not sure which posts were irrational.....trends last night weren't great, and that was acknowledged. If anyone punted day 6-7 potential, please quote and 5 post 'em.