40/70 Benchmark

Hopefully we score at least one like that one, or 2/1/21...I still think we are going to get a good stretch. I won't believe that this one will rat until it does

Yea, that is the maddening part.....the seasons like 2019-2020 and 2011-2012 are easier to tolerate. I was sure this season wouldn't be like that, and it hasn't, yet the snowfall has still mirrored those seasons and mine is actually worse than the former. I at least got that big December dump in 2019.

Yea, this season will have the potential to make up a lot of ground in short order, but to keep saying it without results must cause a lot of eye rolls at this point...can't blame people.

Wind and any coastal flooding will probably be the main headlines outside of the Berks...could be impressive.

More delusions if you need them with your last 2 days worth of model interpretation.

How is your 6" snowfall on the 84 hour NAM looking?

If it would make it snow here, sure....we are going to be entering the final third of January with me struggling to double digit seasonal snowfall on the NH border. That in and of itself is notable.

I don't care where it trends, at this point...entirely futile and won't make a bit of difference for me. I don't care whether the high is 36 or 42.

Something sure bites, and its not only New York, its this storm.

No, SNE...I couldn't care less about NYS, nor does Harvey.

Aren't you getting a decent amount of snow on Monday-Monday night?

That has been my big period since last fall.

Well, Miller As can still be nice events, just not upper echelon for us. However, ironically enough it's our usual friend the N stream that ended up our foe here by pulling the s streamer due north. At the end of the day, this system is a poster child for how more can go wrong with respect to Miiler A because they cover more ground before reaching us...both track and life cycle evolution (occlusion) are coming into play here. This is the shit that you are less likely to deal with in Miller B events and it's a good example of why I loathe Miller Asshole. You just want the storm to go BOOM, and hit you as dynamics peak with little time for other mitigating factors to intervene. A bomb detonating down the street will usually have a greater impact than one detonating hundreds of miles away.

Cosgrove starting to talk this one up for I95. The fact that there isn't one post about the EURO in the other thread tells you people are entering the acceptance stage lol

Ha...that is even a bit more conservative than mine.

I know Kev hates him, but my view on him is he really knows his stuff.....but he wears his emotions on his sleeve, and I think that in conjunction with his dyslexia can sometimes negatively impact his ability to effectively convey information.

DT's First map looks like mine. Nice event for NNE

It will be a nice WAA slug, no doubt.

Maybe that helps limit WAA a bit, but it also caps QPF.

As much as I have continued my several season run of getting porked in relation to snowfall this season, one thing I have noted this winter is that my retention has been better than most of SNE. You can tell its been a bit colder up here with the small amount of latitude that I have on SNE. What little snowfall I have had has been tenacious.....that has continued this month, as snow is very spotty closer to Boston, where they had good but more last Friday, and here, where I still have just about full coverage. Shame I haven't had more fall.

My guess is we get at least one more major threat before the end of the month....then after we thaw in February, hopefully I am right about the redevelopment of late season blocking.

Well, keep in mind that this is occluding as it hits us.

Its like 4-5"

Euro is much more realistic IMO, Steve....check that NARCAN.

GFS is about 10" here.....possible, but I will take the under attm. I think that is my ceiling, though....if EVERYTHING breaks right.