40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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This is good news AFAIC....means everything is on track. I'll do one more update tmw before go-time after Halloween. I'm pretty confident...famous last words...
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With urine in the snow on snowman19's lawn
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Maybe they forget it was also one of the coldest/snowiest decades in history for the east?
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He'd probably write it over about one summer of coc k.
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If he starts buying you brews at the GTG, you know whassup.
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I was gonna say...that is all you.
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There is no question CC is impacting everything, but the issue is that its extraordinarily difficult to assign proper attribution ratios, aside from maybe surface temp.
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Well, I think the subsurface does dictate the pattern indirectly speaking due to the fact that it modulates the sea surface given a favorable wind direction to facilitate upwelling....its all one giant feedback, clearly.
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While there is undoubtedly CC at play, the impact of weaker ENSO events has always been more diverse and diffuse.
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The only SSTs I even mention are ENSO....even the fabled N ATL tripole is overrated IMO....I think its a more worthwhile endeavor to study the subsruface.
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The point is many la nina seasons have a latitudinal gradient, so that is not the case.
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Yea, these are the nuances that can cause a shitty several years, which I have seen, though I know that not everyone has, regionally.
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All things being equal, I would still prefer el nino and and definitely pretty sick of cool ENSO, at this point.
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@ORH_wxman, do you have a link for the latest version of this Hovmoller?
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Yea, I have never understood the obsession with non-ENSO ssts....its relatively trivial.
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Toting the swampiest ass that has ever swamped....just leaving trails like a snail everywhere.
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Its not a done deal until the house considers it.
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He is, but if you read his work, it specifies that the +5ish warmth will be localized. His actual analog composite isn't that warm....the localized +5 crap was the hand drawn map.
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snowman's protégé
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DM 2020-2021 was just about normal...a bit above NNE. DM 2017-2018 was normal to slightly below.
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31.5 again last night....visible frost...already been several.
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Doubt that.
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I just mean that the second half was lame. Obviously the ones that hang on well into January are the real winners. I think the key is get a PNA to take a handoff from the NAO, and/or a combo of really favorable EPO ridge/good timing.
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1984 is another notable exception...
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Most la nina seasons do...even 2010-2011 did. Same with 2008-2009. The 1996, 2001 and 2018's are tough to come by.
