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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    He may just have an emergency...like one of his 12 muts has rhea.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I just feel like the gap has closed between the two.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    The real irony is that the bulldog of a low out west that is the initial fly in the ointment may be a the SW that sparks our first good threat in about 11-12 days. As far as the handling of the block...it looks like a compromise between what the GFS and EURO suite were advertising......initially, we do see the GFS scenario play out this week where they conjoin into a big ridge, but it doesn't last and ultimately the colder pattern will prevail.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like the PNA gets less obnoxious (not favorable) by mid month, so that is when the watch begins....so in all fairness, I think the first 5-7 days of my original post 12/10 date will be uneventful.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    December 2007....pretty good month, right....first warned event 12/13.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    You have been level-headed and objective, but I do sense some panic from others.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Funny, you would think we are closing in on January with all of the whining and angst over this month.....but we still aren't even to the point at which December 1995 got going (12/9). Gotta step back and maintain perspective, despite some frustrating developments.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Ninjaed
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sucks the block gets delayed, but in the grand scheme of things, it doesn't change much IMO...it just lops the first several days off of the post 12/10 period, which were tenuous for coastal SNE, anyway. Pacific and Atlantic still look good after mid-month and I see a nice storm signal from about 12/17 to 12/19.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Totally fair enough. I wasn't sure who it was intended toward...I was just trying to clarify what I meant in pointing our that the NAO does in fact matter. But I also feel that your way of articulating it is better than simply saying that the NAO doesn't matter...that is also inaccurate and misleading. Didn't intend to sound defensive.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    The point is that on average a neg NAO pattern is colder than a positive NAO pattern. That is different than saying that the NAO is the vehicle for the delivery of the cold. That isn't what I intended to imply...not sure about anyone else.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    E24 FTW
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Barrel of laughs watching the GFS model the Godzilla of an NAO block to gobble up the east coast.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could think of a few sequences that were a bit more fun
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I will say one thing, and that is that I am sure as hell sick of la nina. Good riddance-
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I've been arguing right along that it never looked like a frigid pattern. People only hear what they want to.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    If absolutely must, then you should also bump the one where you proclaimed that were "all in".
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think its too early for anyone to bump anything.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Depends how many BEERs.....6+ the latter, any less and its the former.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Great post.....totally agree. I know its an el nino, but I mentioned January to February 1969 as another example of blocking patterns taking a while of pay dividends.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Up to 43.4 from 19.4
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I said last fall I was pretty confident that it would be at least a healthy moderate warm ENSO next year....but we'll see what things look like later this year.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    No one said that. But all else being equal, it provides the cold with more staying power, which is why it is linked to colder patterns in the northeast on average. At present all else is not equal because there is no mechanism to drive the cold southeast as of yet.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree, but neither is calling me an "idiot" and making baseless accusations of plagiarism. Tough not to lose your cool when you present evidence to the contrary and the unsubstantiated claims continue. It should be a warn able offense. But as an LICSW, I should know better than to use that language in a derogatory manner. My apologies.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Absolutely. Will I do it? Probably not lol I know what you are driving at....hahaha
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