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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. My money is on his account of the "Stay Away" order being served as the rain/snow line swept through the campus under the din of Hustler mags.
  2. I hope Tip is writing up some diatribe about how his correction vector is pointed in my direction.
  3. Man, I was nervous bc my first call was pretty aggressive at the time yesterday. Happy for the guys out west.
  4. Its not the same....that's like being a bandwagon team when your team loses.
  5. Good point. Its easy to overlook because its still rain...guilty as charged. That fits with the old fable of "cutters lock in early".
  6. The more the month of December ages, the more confident I get in the Pacific actually improving. I have been saying that for over a month.
  7. Yes...agreed. I just pretty much said the same thing with less bells and whistles. My previous commentary was just based on the current appeal of the three major ensemble suites. Correction vector is more favorable....and the closer we get to January/later in December, the fuse is closer to getting lit is my feeling.
  8. "Here lays Ray. His outlooks were long and H5 looked great". RIP-
  9. If I am being entirely objective, I will say that the extended range ordeal should have less resistance to trending more favorably should the PNA actually moderate....you would think it would trend more favorably.
  10. When isn't there spread at day 10? The point is that the mean has been pinned to a follow up rendition of Friday. There is no denying it. Time to change? Sure....will that pattern allow? You bet...and it would not surprise me. But its needs to....
  11. I know what my guess would be looking at this...
  12. None of the 3 major ensemble means give me a warm and fuzzy about that pre-Xmas system...most of the energy looks west again. The ceiling looks something akin to that crap on Friday...as of now.
  13. The 00z EPS would send me plunging into the Merrimack...Xmas tree in tow..it would help to weigh me down in order to ensure success.
  14. Yes. There is no reason why we can't have all hell break loose to send us into the holiday....but the question is where will hell break loose, and will it be hell perceived through our lens, or the collective one of the masses?? Tic, toc...
  15. If not, there will be a massacre on Hall Street.
  16. Gotacha. I figured that...don't mind the tone. Just frustrated...I know you don't make shit up, obviously.
  17. I must have missed those, but then again, I am focusing on major signals....so I would gloss over the random whale ripples that could drop an inch or two.
  18. Friday is rain....which has been clear to me since Sunday. Then we have the pre Xmas event and then probably one more major threat between Xmas and New Year's.....so while everything looks awesome from a large-scale synoptics stand- point, the devil is in the details. And that devil really needs to stop screaming up the collective tail pipe of eastern New England free of lube, or else this festive holiday appeal is going to remain at H5 and pass us by at the surface. Simple as that-
  19. I really appreciate the kind words, as it is that, in addition to the whole winter experience makes all of the time worth it. I def. do not have the understanding of the background physics that drive the atmosphere like they, along with other degreed mets do, but I have tried to compensate for that with really rigorous research to get a feel for climo and general understanding of synoptics.
  20. That system is all we have before Xmas. I'm not sure where Scott sees another pre Xmas threat, but that's it. I maybe about 4 days off from punting December. I thought the coast would struggle this month, but I didn't expect to be virtually shut out clear back to near ORH. I'm at the point where I need more than a hr 270 H5 plot make me feel as though the luck is going to change anytime before the ball drops.
  21. The way my luck is going, you'll get it.
  22. Maybe I should head to the 350' hill down the street on Friday in search of cat paws
  23. I won't be suprised if we don't really end up with much in December and still end up with a damn good season.
  24. People need to understand why seasons like 2010-2011 are top 5-10 seasons...you don't get that from just a pretty H5 pic in the seasonal mean. That is requisite, sure....but you also need the snow gods to give you a reach around, which is pretty difficult to predict. The pretty H5 pic means you bought mother nature dinner, which makes it more likely that she puts out, but blue balls are always on the table.
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