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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, we agree for the most part.....winter won't be very cold and el Nino has not peaked, but it is close IMO. The major WWB is to the west....the one coming east isn't that big of a deal. This is the final push. The thrust of warmer subsurface is still mainly west IMO.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    NBD, just uploaded via cell.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Strange...I get them on my cell, though.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Is it just me, or are these images not showing up for others? Both desktop and laptop....
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is accounted for in assuming a range of 1.7 to 1.9 ONI, IMO....we NEED another push to get that-
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    12/2...say 2pmish.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Post the Dec weeklies
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    F-U...leaving the one I have. lol
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    People see this and spontaneously ejac.....its a long, methodical process.....and it will probably initially augment the PV in the general vicinity of the holidays.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably over the weekend at some point....had aimed for Friday, but the laptop catastrophe burned a lot of yesterday....updating a lot of graphics today. I think you guys will like it....conveyed my message in pretty unique way that a SNE weather weenie will appreciate.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was selling the blocky December crap.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Having an outlook this long affords one the luxury of needing to go back and update graphics that have aged a few weeks in the process of writing.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    About 75% done...has @griteaterupdated his MEI graphs after that abomination of an October value? Shield you eyes, snowman lol
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had some IP this AM...joy. Back to writing.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Anyone have the mesonet link? Had to get a new laptop after a soda spill. lol
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Saw the SCE was about normal...anyone have the SAI?
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Spilled soda on my laptop yesterday...what a disaster. My work may go into the wknd now.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    You can see how the Aleutian low retrogrades over the course of the season, which is why it gets better after the NY.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    That looks like the Modoki composite.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    @griteaterYou updated this recently, correct? Care to bump?
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I feel like the result maybe basin wide orientation in terms of SSTs with a Modoki like forcing and storm tracks. However, we won't have Modoki like cold due to the Pacific and overall antecedent warmth around the globe. Basin-wide like temps in the seasonal mean with periods of canonical warmth and some modoki like cold shots...probably warm in the mean, but not prohibitively so.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Region 4 has the second warmest anomaly that it ever had in recorded history...if that doesn't qualify as basin-wide, then I'm not sure what does. Basin-wide events have a high variance due to the SST warmth not being biased heavily in either direction, but the fact is that the warmth out west is titling the forcing in that direction.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Webb literally wrote a thesis on Twitter about why the MEI doesn't matter...talk about being triggered lol
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is the one I use for pre 1979.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Life is one big correlation table...from solving world hunger, to alleviating acute personality disorders and getting laid....check the table-
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