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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    You should start a NNE circle jerk thread for the 3 people and 4 deer that care-
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Why? I am okay with cutting the cord on this season and leaping into pleasant weather and baseball.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would say 2.0 and up....
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maybe strong, but I don't see a "super" event.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I really don't see the relevance of the modoki index 9 months before winter...again, last season was east based heading into December...you just saw raindance post that these currents operate on conveyor belts at 3 months lead. Thus your information, while factual, is largely irrelevant within the context of winter '23-'24 dialogue. Maybe it will end up being east based, but it won't be because its east based now.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    In what year was the previous record, 1969?
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yep...his auto excuse of la nina is gone, so he will scrambling in the off season to cut off all avenues of hope lol
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Put the early over/under on an inch of slush for Methuen...
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I think we're done...but I'm taking some time off from weather. El nino composites can wait until the summer.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was wrong about that myself. What had you favoring a modiki event?
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would have thought it would have been reversed, ie colder later, since modoki el nino is a colder configuration for the east. Intersting.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not worried about it right now. Hell, this year's la nina was east based until like December...how did that work out-
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Even I was a shade above normal for snowfall in January.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is what have started to incorporate this past fall.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yep. I think its also stronger if October is cool and November flips.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think I am guilty of the first, but not the second.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think I apply that in seasonal forecasting.....its about assessing current conditions, ad nauseum...but I know what you mean haha
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    BTW, this was @raindancewxIMO....go back read his. Nailed it.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Totally get it. Wasn't meant as a criticism at all.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    TBH, I think January being +8 is what sunk my forecast...you replace that with even pedestrian warmth, and most of region hits my forecast seasonal amounts.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    100% this. Nice job with pattern recognition this year.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, I don't think the fact that winter was very mild was just bad luck....but do think the fable about November warmth holding up was luck.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    He certainly seemed to be correctly on the mild train, but its difficult to really assess when there was never a formal outlook published.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was clear to me this month wasn't going to be as cold as March 2018 because the PV is on the other side of the globe again, but I did think that we'd do better with respect to snow than we have. Just couldn't catch a break.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, 40.5".
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