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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wouldn't sweat in metro Boston....trends should favor them....the capture/stall always tics more progressive late in game.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Between setting up the draft and tracking this, I was burnt out yesterday. Today comes the biblical first call
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    An ice cream headache inducing manner of communicating that we continue honing in on the same consensus that have been careening towards all week...capture/stall near or just east of the cape.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have felt great about this event all week. No changes....get generators. I just needed rest for today.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I slept last night...was out by 11.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    These JV models are just going to swing from side to side of the ensemble envelop. Really nothing to be gleaned.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Explosive diaherra
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wasn't implying this is a cold blizzard...that was my point in considering depth maps in lower terrain.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    For the lower terrain in marginal situations it's a good low end of range, at least. I'm not talking about you at 1000'.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea. I've been expecting this trend all week and it's working out, so far.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    In a cold blizzard, they are...otherwise, they are not.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    As long as it doesn't occlude, you want the insane deepening. That is what produced the intense banding....you want rate of max intensification as it approaches and bypasses the area. Its not just about track, but catching the system in the right stage of its lifecycle....you don't want the banded, occluded menopausal lows.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Narcan and depth maps are still pretty conservative, so that may keep me from RGW tomorrow
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, probably....some runs have 960s, but that is pretty extreme.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, ensembles have trending more intense...I was looking at it from a LBSW standpoint. Agree.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Time out?
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I didn't see that trend today, thankfully.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks to me like we just lost the way seaward members.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sarcasm is a foreign language, apparently.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    EPS looks a bit more progressive, as it moves it away from the cape a bit faster....that is a trend you usually see in these scenarios.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    The mean looks a hair more tucked to me, but its really noise-like.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly what I have been saying. Kev, just commenting on UK QPF verbatim...not worried about it, but its a big haircut over much of the area relative to other guidance.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    He keeps dropping in here and engaging in NYC centric wishcasting.
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