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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I must have missed this post...interesting take. I have initial reservations about next winter due to the fact that solar should be descending by then, but maybe we stave that off another year. Plenty of time to ponder that.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I didn't think you would do well. How much you get?
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    .86" rainfall as of midnight.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the Maritime continent is going to swallow the world and the entire planet will be one giant phase 5.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, probably because through 12/20 sucks.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Larry is going to put you in a headlock lol
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think you gave me a lift to my vehicle IIRC
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not going to lie, I was glad to sit this one out.....the PIA forecast would not have been worth the return. NNE can have it.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I feel like mid January may feature another thawing period of Maritime forcing while the pattern reloads for the grand finale at the end of the month and into February.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Where do you think this area of anomalously excessive precip focused over northern Maine in association with the N stream would end up with a more neutral or negative PDO and significant degree of high latitude blocking? It seems clear to me...
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yup....the stronger northern stream was expected, which is why I think the NE will avoid the typical -PDO precip screw hole. This el Nino is a toned down version of 2015-2016, which we both always agreed on. A colder version of that winter with more blocking is fine by me. And yes, I am sure there will be periods of Maritime forcing and an active Pac jet to deal with, which is why it won't be cold in the DM mean.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll be there.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    The thing is that the PV is starting weaker than last year and the -NAO is already prevalent, so it may not take foreever and day reap benefits.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had my mind made up on a 12/25 to 1/8 SSW back in August, when I did my solar research and looked at el Nino SSW analogs. Believe. Why is a warm December news again? Why are people acting like this is a some shocking development? Yea, a warm December in an el Nino....go figure, must be CC.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think anyone is arguing the pattern now doesn't suck, which isn't unexpected. However, the blocking this early is a positive auger for the balance of the season.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is a raging Pac jet, so of course its mild. All the NAO does is trap the cold in place and block storms from cutting. Everyone agrees that if the PAC is crap, then it will be mild. But there is every reason to believe that heights will elevate near AK later this month.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    First of all, Raindance whiffed in the Arctic last year, secondly, I have had years where I "killed it", but that doesn't mean other years won't kill me. Again, no one is expecting a frigid season....its not a cold look this year, but it shouldn't be prohibitive to snowfall. The PDO will not be epic like last year. Do me a favor, and keep your deranged, neurotic BS in the tri state thread.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    No
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    We can do one when there is something to talk about
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Got to Clark's on the 19th...real festive vibe on the eve of a pattern shift.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right....you are going to get sick no matter what you do. Having the sniffles isn't going to prompt me to cancel any plans. Just don't stick your tongue down anyone's throat and hope for the best.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Jesus, glad I checked the thread .. .was gonna say I will be there at 3 instead of 2, but I guess we cancel.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    It seems like some folks are so emotionally fragile and dependent upon snow that they want a written guarantee of crystalized armageddon in their back yard. It doesn't work like that...all you can do is diagnose general features in the pattern and hope for the best. Any additional measures to safe guard against what we are observing in this forum at the very onset of met winter should be taken on the couch or zoom feed of a good therapist.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    What got pushed back last year? We got the huge block in December, regardless of of the fact that it didn't produce snow on the east coast. Again, we got the Feb SSW and resultant huge block in March, right on schedule. -PDO is fine as long as you aren't expecting a very cold eastern winter, which no one is. This will not be a prohibitively extreme-PDO list last year.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would....well, se MA could, but highly doubt interior sne.
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