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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I get its NBD....just protracts search for first flakes.
  2. Obviously, but just insult to an injury riddled 5 years+.
  3. The usual negative mode of the Methuen snowfall oscillation in full effect....too far east in the first event, south in the last event and now west/north.
  4. Makes sense....December usually blows in el Nino and last December we had one of he most potent cold ENSO Walker Cells on record.
  5. Hopefully the internet connection is every bit as unstable as the PV.
  6. Updated Euro seasonal looks a lot like my forecast....crappy bookends of December and March, with a good January and February sandwiched in between.
  7. Yea, el Nino may end as a Modoki, but I don't think it will make much difference. The pattern should be great in Feb, regardless and in the seasonal mean, I will still consider it as being basin-wide.
  8. Right, but your area into the mid atl can achieve climo snowfall in one event. And it just so happens that the odds of such an event far exceed climo this year. Even @bluewavewould attest to that.
  9. @AllsnowA slow start makes a huge season less likely, which isn't expected, anyway....but if the season evolves remotely as anticipated, climo snowfall will not be a tall task. Think about it...which is the snowiest ENSO state? El Nino....which is harshest in December? El Nino-
  10. Well, it doesn't have to be warm, but its not a stock cold pattern like it is later in the season. I agree it shouldn't be too warm with the higher heights near AK all else equal...would be a welcome change.
  11. Correct. It changes in February, which likely plays into el Nino climo.
  12. I don't think I saw one seasonal forecast that wasn't mild in December for the NE.
  13. Nothing good IMO....gonna be an uphill battle with descending solar and high geomagnetic energy. Better hope we cash in this season and maaaaaybe next season because it will get lean for a few years IMO.
  14. 12/5 is what I consider open climo on big dog climo for SNE....through to about 3/31. Save the puns about the pattern...I get that it sucks. This is strictly climo.
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