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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I still don't like the look of the GEFS...trended badly from 06z, I thought....north again. GEPS looked good.
  2. I would weigh anything that doesn't snow/snows a little over anything that snows alot-
  3. Stand by on that....go back three weeks and look at the posts RE February.
  4. I feel like that is just as large a mitigating factor of CC than temps and probably more so, given that them rises are more realized on clear nights.
  5. I would rather take my chances with a marginal air mass, than risk subby in a powder bomb...I hate those. Sure, sometimes I'll lose out like last March, but more often than not my area comes through in those.
  6. I see you guys beat me to it....my bad on the redundancy...sometimes I just post before reading. haha
  7. EPS continues to look chef's kiss for the 24th....GEFS and GEPS look less huggy, but luke warm ferocity.
  8. The only one of those that really blows here is 1998-1999.
  9. If someone put a gun to my head, which some east coast weenie may after my past couple of Outlooks....our pathway out of this Pacific origin multi winter purgatory in the east is hurricanes. Uber activity in the Atlantic AND west PAC...just bombard the shit out of that stable ocean configuration and attendant subtropical ridge via an immense amount of upwelling and heat transport.
  10. I was thinking of that season as a possible exception where we both did well.
  11. Well, yea....a great winter for you probably sucks on the east coast and vice versa.
  12. It was like 16" in my area...run of the mill. It was epic for Hartford and NYC.
  13. Just a guess....so Raindance, please don't bump this in October and quote me on it......weak to moderate La Nina. Structure...no clue, but early guidance I have seen looked basin-wide ish.
  14. GEFS and GEPS are huggerish, EPS looks like a late-bloom coastal. I'll probably do a small heads up for it over the weekend if it warrants....then a first call like Tuesday.
  15. GEFS insist on developing 2/24 too far north...like over CT.
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