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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. No, I have always said after the 2/24 threat its over.
  2. All three major ensemble means are lock-in-step between the islands and BM. Impressive....god, don't do it, Ray...please stop.
  3. 18z GEFS looks pretty sweet. This looks like a Friday deal, so probably looking at a Tuesday First Call and Thursday Final.
  4. Pretty good cross guidance support for a biggie Feb 24th, so let's see how mother mature manufactures a way to access that last crevice with what remains of my Outlook to result in the least snow imaginable for SNE during my identified 2/11 to 3/3 window.
  5. Things that will delay Ray's draft prep for 1000, Scooter.
  6. Tip would argue that your clinical need probably predated the inception of his threads.
  7. Yea, I see what you mean there. I was speaking from a track standpoint. True.
  8. I think in '02, it was so cold and the S stream so immense that it just encompassed the entire eastern half of the US....kind of the warm ENSO cousin of 1995.
  9. Sometimes in an active N strema year, the N steam goods can get you en route to the phase at the coast...probably what happened in years like 77, 04, 08, 10, 13 and 17
  10. I still don't like the look of the GEFS...trended badly from 06z, I thought....north again. GEPS looked good.
  11. I would weigh anything that doesn't snow/snows a little over anything that snows alot-
  12. Stand by on that....go back three weeks and look at the posts RE February.
  13. I feel like that is just as large a mitigating factor of CC than temps and probably more so, given that them rises are more realized on clear nights.
  14. I would rather take my chances with a marginal air mass, than risk subby in a powder bomb...I hate those. Sure, sometimes I'll lose out like last March, but more often than not my area comes through in those.
  15. I see you guys beat me to it....my bad on the redundancy...sometimes I just post before reading. haha
  16. EPS continues to look chef's kiss for the 24th....GEFS and GEPS look less huggy, but luke warm ferocity.
  17. The only one of those that really blows here is 1998-1999.
  18. If someone put a gun to my head, which some east coast weenie may after my past couple of Outlooks....our pathway out of this Pacific origin multi winter purgatory in the east is hurricanes. Uber activity in the Atlantic AND west PAC...just bombard the shit out of that stable ocean configuration and attendant subtropical ridge via an immense amount of upwelling and heat transport.
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