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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I'd assume skip an advisory event and get to 60 degrees.
  2. I agree. I think you have been spot-on.
  3. I count about 15 members passing just east of Mass in the 960s and 970s. 18z left, 12z right
  4. So we got that 100mi shift in one suite on the EPS....centered right on the BM.
  5. Doesn't suprise me, but lets see it hold for 00z.
  6. The energy out west is crashing the PNA ridging faster, too.
  7. Another huge problem that I see on the GFS is that the N stream is now waiting until about 21z on Saturday to begin dropping into whatever s stream energy we have on the east coast. It was dropping in at 00z on Saturday 24 hours ago....I think this, coupled with the turd lead SW near SNE is the death knell for this quicker phase right now. We have been without the energy near Baja for a few days now, so that can be overcome.
  8. I think so....that is getting pretty close range. Better bet is to keep digging the n stream and hope that lead turd scrams.
  9. Plus alot of energy is hanging back near Baja.
  10. That guy needs to be 5PPD...maybe invent a 3PPD.
  11. Crushed, or in the game? Crushed....100mi......in the game...50mi.
  12. What I see mostly is a tightening of the timing and a drift west at 12z.
  13. There are def. more western members close to the Mass coast here on the 12z EPS relative to 06z....worth watching.
  14. Still quite a lean west at hr 114, east of Mass on the EPS....I agree with most that this is slipping away, but its not yet past tense.
  15. I expected more a December PNA than what materialized, and January was warmer than I had....only flaws, so far. I did have January mild, though...tough to forecast +6 months in advance, though I did that for February 2018...huge signal for obscene warmth.
  16. I count about 17 of the 52 EPS members that would result in a major storm for the area.
  17. Probably, but I'd give it 18 hours, or so...
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