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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. As depicted on prior model data...sure. And maybe that will be the case...it doesn't have to work out optimally for sne.
  2. I don't think so...I was just speculating on an NAO block working in tandem with a PNA ridge. I figured the stall was BS on the other systems because we had a trough out west.
  3. I may start veering in this direction myself soon....that and fantasy baseball. My first instinct is that next year may be ENSO neutral and less than stellar.
  4. Once someone becomes a legend, are they always a legend?
  5. Still looks east-based to me, and is going to remain weak and east-based....the thing is going to be gone by January or February.. When are you going to call it, June?
  6. Chuck, are you implying a positive EPO is more likely throughout winter becuase it has been predominate during October?
  7. Yea...interior se NH jackpot...I felt screwed with 20" just to the south ol
  8. I started as some rain and sleet, but quickly flipped and got near 20".
  9. Chuck, question...if you get the time, could you run your formula for the '70-71' season in order to see how it verifies? One reservation I have is that as well as your formula has performed, it missed on '07-'08, which is a fair analog for this season.
  10. Yea, I have interpreted this tropical October regime as a positive development in relation to winter prospects....statistically speaking, trends from October to November tend to augur the prevailing winter pattern more often than not-
  11. I had +.37, so neutral-positive. I wouldn't consider that a win for this index, but he knows better than I.
  12. I think the correlation to the AO is stronger, but obviously this is an NAO thread...
  13. Blizzard of 2005 is a bit overrated in my area....several storms in my lifetime were better.
  14. I am a big fan of your work and methodologies.......and I incorporated your NAO work into last season's out look, but I was somewhat surprised that it wasn't more negative. Anyway, great work, as always....I think this tool as about as good as any, and probably the best imho.
  15. And in the mid latitudes, the correction is usually to the east.
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