40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Pivotalwx.com?
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Tough pill for me to swallow blowing 2015-16, aside from getting the blizzard right...missed a hanging curve.
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You pretty much echoed what I just said. We aren't there yet, but I see progress...both personally, and professionally, where it actually matters. Totally agree on right for the wrong reason, but I also feel like missing with respect to one index is different than missing on everything..I think we just need to acknowledge the error.
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TBH, pinning down an individual storm track to within 50 mi at day 7 is not much easier than capturing the overall tenor of a season at few months of lead time. I mean, what you said sounds viscerally logical, until you actually think about it...
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I wouldn't, either....I said "we aren't there yet"...but I also think its possible and we are making progress.
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"LR is voodoo" is a copout. Its predictable, but we just aren't there yet. I think I, along with some others have held their own TBH.
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Well, I agree that basing your entire outlook on it, like Judah, is foolish. No argument. But it certainly helps more often than not...there are exceptions, like last year.
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Is he driving to Nanavut to chase this?
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Tonight's First Call cancel.
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I hope it tracks through Ottawa, at this point...disengaged.
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Strat was awful in 2015, but I'm not sure what your point is. I think most understand that you can get by without it, but its insurance against what we are now enduring. The big PNA failed this month..is the PNA voodoo?
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At least I won't spend two hours blogging tonight.
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Maybe next year I am awful, like last year...bottom line is that the failures inform the successes. The moment you think that you have it figured out is the moment that you are back to the drawing board.
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I wouldn't be suprised...
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I'm not worried... I think you are under the impression that I have this epic second half, like last year. I don't. I have some blocking showing up in Feb or March to salvage a decent second half in the face of an awful Pacific. I am on point, so far.
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I bet not.
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Every piece of guidance has continued to get worse. I'll give it until 12z tomorrow to reverse, but I'm just about to move onto February.
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Can't catch a break today. I'm out.
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I get like 2"....got 3-4" at 18z.
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Its actually worse than 18z...you have to go to the N ORH hills to get much of any accumulation.
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Slowing down a bit, too...
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Bit better than 18z abomination..
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Isn't gaining as much latitude now...we'll see-
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Confluence looks a hair better, though?
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Yea. No bueno.
