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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Wouldn't be the first time and won't be the last.
  2. Yea, just give me an ice-clown map...thanks lol
  3. We've already had more breaks than last year...remember that we whiffed on the early December 2018 window. Many got nailed in early December 2019, though I know not everyone. Most of sne, anyway is at least going better than a year ago.
  4. Last season was the inverse of 2014-2015....I'd expect more breaks this year relative to last year, and hopefully a bit more blocking. We don't necessarily need a March 2018, either...
  5. ....but the risk is much greater when the PNA is negative and the NAO is positive. That is his point.
  6. Started obs thread. Yea, this is NBD unless you are in the big ice zone out west.
  7. Post those dews if you got 'em, as we track the press... 26.8/23.9
  8. Sounds like last season with the EPO dumping west and storms encountering zero resistance to cutting.
  9. EURO looks a hair colder than 18z, but warmer than 12z...in between.
  10. @Damage In Tolland Shouldn't you be in bed? Morning run in like an hour...
  11. One thing you well never see me do is post them on my blog or social media, but in a chat forum? Sure...
  12. Yea, I don't get the aversion to clown maps in a weather forum. If you don't know their limitations by now then its on you.
  13. I agree..still expect mainly IP here, but man....that warming trend aloft can stop now.
  14. Yea, always dangerous to pin hopes on a sustained March 2018 block, but even just some transient and well timed ridge nodes in the right spots can do the trick. Judging from my analog composite, we should at least pull that off.
  15. Yep.. blocking will make or break second half because Pac will not be very good. I'll do a longer term piece before the New Year.
  16. Strongly agree....for most of the winter from here on out imo.
  17. Probably won't get shoutout given time of year, but it won't be pretty.
  18. Anything we get between the holidays and mid January was always supposed to be gravy imho.
  19. I think Ginxy has been pretty dead nuts on this year.
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