40/70 Benchmark

I disagree. I think mine has done well....granted I was not extreme enough with January warmth, but I am satisfied.

With bad luck, yes...possible.

Man, reel it in, boys.....middle of winter was always supposed to blow after the quick start. We have had some chanceams the past 5-6 weeks, but it hasn't worked out. Its always been clear that the PAC would remain awful and we would await NAO/AO assit. If that does not come, it will remain very mild. I still think skme help will materialize, but probably not until latter Feb or March, at this rate. In the mean time, enjoy the warm spell and hope that we can luck out and avail of EPO dump with a well timed wave. I'll update this weekend...but no big changes. This reminds me of 2017-2018 a bit...not necessarily saying epic March, but...

People have lost it...wow

Still not entirely convinced, so went ahead an issued for the most trivial amounts that I ever have. There probably will be no need for a Final Call, but it would be Friday night. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/01/super-bowl-storm-potential-no-show.html

I think he lost the list. I still want to see the northern SW onshore, but not taking any names lol

I get the H5 jokes...pretty sure I coined the sarcastic version of "looks great at H5"...but anyone looking to advance their understanding of how the atmosphere works should remain mindful of variation aloft, regardless of modeled sensible appeal. Anyone who feels as though any piece of guidance was consistent is either passively aggressively projecting frustration onto others, or has a low met aptitude and should probably post less. Last bit of bandwidth I will waste on this topic.

The irony of a guy always going on about how he enjoys the science of meteorology disregarding H5 in analysis...poetically hypocritical.

Exactly.

I promise you the sensible weather over other area was not correct. Just because it may correctly forecast no snow here doesn't mean it nailed the evolution, Mr. "I enjoy the science of it"..

Well, I did get 19" in early Dec....better than the largest in most seasons, nvm that time of year..

I would still take this over 33 and rain with a blizzard in Albany.

Agree

LOL At this rate, I should take it

Let him go.. looking to get a rise out of someone...loves to challenge.

I'm not sure why you don't understand that being offshore for days and vascillating significantly are not mutually exclusive.

Yes. I'm not saying the Euro sucks, but its also struggled with this.

I don't know when it was, but it has been oscillating back and forth significantly even at this short lead time.

Its struggled like the rest....this is the inverse of the "models nail every cutter!" BS......going over Detroit instead of Chicago is about as noticeable as going over buoy 1321183 instead of 8990944 for most in this subform....

I am still near normal, but need snow quickly because I'm falling off pace.

I do, but did not last night, nor will I tonight.

NAM looks worse than 18z to me at H5.

Not ready to sell yet, but obvioualy odds have decreased.

You had better believe it...get used to it.

I highly doubt that a faster phase would not lead to a closer track.